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  1. Simulations
  2. Defensor Sporting vs Racing
Primera Division · 100,000 simulations

Defensor Sporting vs Racing prediction

We simulated Defensor Sporting vs Racing 100,000 times. Racing won 39,980 of them (40%), the draw came up 28.9% of the time and Defensor Sporting won 31.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.5%, while the likeliest Racing win is 0-1 (11.3%). Both teams score in 48.2% of simulations.

Defensor Sporting badge
Defensor Sporting Estadio Luis Franzini
3–3 Full time
Racing badge
Racing Away
31.1% 31,108 wins
28.9% Draw
40% 39,980 wins
Expected goals
1.09 – 1.28
Likeliest score
1-1 13.5% Top Racing win: 0-1 11.3%
Both score
48.2%
Over 2.5
42.2%

Full time 3-3. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 28.9%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Augusto Olmos Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo

Defensor Sporting vs Racing in numbers 100,000 simulations · Primera Division · Saturday 24 October, 20:00

Defensor Sporting vs Racing simulation probabilities
Defensor Sporting win31.1%
Draw28.9%
Racing win40%
Most likely score1-1 (13.5%)
Expected goals1.09 – 1.28
Both teams to score48.2%
Over 1.5 goals68.9%
Over 2.5 goals42.2%
Over 3.5 goals21.7%
Defensor Sporting score first42.6%
Racing score first47.4%
Defensor Sporting clean sheet28.2%
Racing clean sheet33.8%
Football simulation API

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Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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  ?v=2
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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Defensor Sporting vs Racing prediction FAQs

Who will win Defensor Sporting vs Racing?

Racing are favourites. They win 40% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.9% for the draw and 31.1% for Defensor Sporting. Including the draw, Racing avoid defeat 68.9% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Defensor Sporting vs Racing?

1-1, which came up in 13.5% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (11.3%) and 0-0 (10.2%). The likeliest Racing win is 0-1 (11.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Defensor Sporting vs Racing?

Both teams score in 48.2% of simulations. Defensor Sporting keep a clean sheet 28.2% of the time and Racing 33.8%.

How many goals will there be in Defensor Sporting vs Racing?

The simulations average 2.37 goals: 1.09 for Defensor Sporting and 1.28 for Racing. Over 1.5 goals lands 68.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 42.2% and over 3.5 goals 21.7%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.