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  1. Simulations
  2. Gillingham vs Barrow
FA Cup · 100,000 simulations

Gillingham vs Barrow prediction

We simulated Gillingham vs Barrow 100,000 times. Gillingham won 41,909 of them (41.9%), the draw came up 27.3% of the time and Barrow won 30.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.9%, while the likeliest Gillingham win is 1-0 (8.8%). Both teams score in 55.3% of simulations.

Gillingham badge
Gillingham MEMS Priestfield Stadium
0–1 Full time
Barrow badge
Barrow Away
41.9% 41,909 wins
27.3% Draw
30.8% 30,748 wins
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.24
Likeliest score
1-1 12.9% Top Gillingham win: 1-0 8.8%
Both score
55.3%
Over 2.5
51%

Full time 0-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Barrow winning 30.8% and gave this exact score 7.2%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Harry Wager MEMS Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham

Gillingham vs Barrow in numbers 100,000 simulations · FA Cup · Saturday 7 November, 15:00

Gillingham vs Barrow simulation probabilities
Gillingham win41.9%
Draw27.3%
Barrow win30.8%
Most likely score1-1 (12.9%)
Expected goals1.48 – 1.24
Both teams to score55.3%
Over 1.5 goals76.2%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29.1%
Gillingham score first53.4%
Barrow score first38.9%
Gillingham clean sheet29.4%
Barrow clean sheet23.1%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420739727
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Gillingham vs Barrow prediction FAQs

Who will win Gillingham vs Barrow?

Gillingham are favourites. They win 41.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.3% for the draw and 30.8% for Barrow. Including the draw, Gillingham avoid defeat 69.3% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Gillingham vs Barrow?

1-1, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest Gillingham win is 1-0 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Gillingham vs Barrow?

Both teams score in 55.3% of simulations. Gillingham keep a clean sheet 29.4% of the time and Barrow 23.1%.

How many goals will there be in Gillingham vs Barrow?

The simulations average 2.72 goals: 1.48 for Gillingham and 1.24 for Barrow. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 51% and over 3.5 goals 29.1%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.