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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated LA Galaxy vs Austin 100,000 times. LA Galaxy won 72,110 of them (72.1%), the draw came up 15.9% of the time and Austin won 12%. The most likely score is 2-1 (8.8%), and both teams score in 59.7% of simulations.
Full time 4-1. Before kick-off the simulations had LA Galaxy winning 72.1% and gave this exact score 5.4%.
| LA Galaxy win | 72.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 15.9% |
| Austin win | 12% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (8.8%) |
| Expected goals | 2.71 – 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | 59.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 51.1% |
| LA Galaxy score first | 69.2% |
| Austin score first | 28.1% |
| LA Galaxy clean sheet | 36% |
| Austin clean sheet | 7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510209 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
LA Galaxy are favourites. They win 72.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 15.9% for the draw and 12% for Austin. Including the draw, LA Galaxy avoid defeat 88% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 8.8% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (8.7%) and 3-1 (7.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.7% of simulations. LA Galaxy keep a clean sheet 36% of the time and Austin 7%.
The simulations average 3.74 goals: 2.71 for LA Galaxy and 1.03 for Austin. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 71.6% and over 3.5 goals 51.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
