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  1. Simulations
  2. Leixões vs Chaves
Liga Portugal 2 · 100,000 simulations

Leixões vs Chaves prediction

We simulated Leixões vs Chaves 100,000 times. Leixões won 49,053 of them (49.1%), the draw came up 26% of the time and Chaves won 25%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.2%, while the likeliest Leixões win is 1-0 (9.7%). Both teams score in 54.5% of simulations.

Leixões badge
Leixões Estádio do Mar
Sunday 15 November
Chaves badge
Chaves Away
49.1% 49,053 wins
26% Draw
25% 24,980 wins
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.11
Likeliest score
1-1 12.2% Top Leixões win: 1-0 9.7%
Both score
54.5%
Over 2.5
52%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Cláudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira Estádio do Mar, Matosinhos

Leixões vs Chaves in numbers 100,000 simulations · Liga Portugal 2 · Sunday 15 November, 18:00

Leixões vs Chaves simulation probabilities
Leixões win49.1%
Draw26%
Chaves win25%
Most likely score1-1 (12.2%)
Expected goals1.65 – 1.11
Both teams to score54.5%
Over 1.5 goals76.8%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30.1%
Leixões score first53.9%
Chaves score first38.6%
Leixões clean sheet33.2%
Chaves clean sheet19.6%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420615636
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Leixões vs Chaves prediction FAQs

Who will win Leixões vs Chaves?

Leixões are favourites. They win 49.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26% for the draw and 25% for Chaves. Including the draw, Leixões avoid defeat 75% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Leixões vs Chaves?

1-1, which came up in 12.2% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest Leixões win is 1-0 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Leixões vs Chaves?

Both teams score in 54.5% of simulations. Leixões keep a clean sheet 33.2% of the time and Chaves 19.6%.

How many goals will there be in Leixões vs Chaves?

The simulations average 2.77 goals: 1.65 for Leixões and 1.11 for Chaves. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52% and over 3.5 goals 30.1%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.