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EFL League One · 100,000 simulations

Leyton Orient vs Barnsley prediction

We simulated Leyton Orient vs Barnsley 100,000 times. Leyton Orient won 43,681 of them (43.7%), the draw came up 26.2% of the time and Barnsley won 30.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.3%, while the likeliest Leyton Orient win is 2-1 (9%). Both teams score in 57.8% of simulations.

Leyton Orient badge
Leyton Orient Brisbane Road
1–3 Full time
Barnsley badge
Barnsley Away
43.7% 43,681 wins
26.2% Draw
30.1% 30,112 wins
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.28
Likeliest score
1-1 12.3% Top Leyton Orient win: 2-1 9%
Both score
57.8%
Over 2.5
54.5%

Full time 1-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Barnsley winning 30.1% and gave this exact score 3.1%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Carl Brook Brisbane Road, London

Leyton Orient vs Barnsley in numbers 100,000 simulations · EFL League One · Saturday 28 February, 12:30

Leyton Orient vs Barnsley simulation probabilities
Leyton Orient win43.7%
Draw26.2%
Barnsley win30.1%
Most likely score1-1 (12.3%)
Expected goals1.59 – 1.28
Both teams to score57.8%
Over 1.5 goals78.6%
Over 2.5 goals54.5%
Over 3.5 goals32.4%
Leyton Orient score first50.8%
Barnsley score first42.2%
Leyton Orient clean sheet28.1%
Barnsley clean sheet20.8%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/355360802
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Leyton Orient vs Barnsley prediction FAQs

Who will win Leyton Orient vs Barnsley?

Leyton Orient are favourites. They win 43.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.2% for the draw and 30.1% for Barnsley. Including the draw, Leyton Orient avoid defeat 69.9% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Leyton Orient vs Barnsley?

1-1, which came up in 12.3% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win is 2-1 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Leyton Orient vs Barnsley?

Both teams score in 57.8% of simulations. Leyton Orient keep a clean sheet 28.1% of the time and Barnsley 20.8%.

How many goals will there be in Leyton Orient vs Barnsley?

The simulations average 2.87 goals: 1.59 for Leyton Orient and 1.28 for Barnsley. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.5% and over 3.5 goals 32.4%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.