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  1. Simulations
  2. MVV Maastricht vs Vitesse
Eerste Divisie · 100,000 simulations

MVV Maastricht vs Vitesse prediction

We simulated MVV Maastricht vs Vitesse 100,000 times. Vitesse won 44,464 of them (44.5%), the draw came up 26.2% of the time and MVV Maastricht won 29.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.2%, while the likeliest Vitesse win is 1-2 (9%). Both teams score in 57.4% of simulations.

MVV Maastricht badge
MVV Maastricht De Geusselt
Tomorrow
Vitesse badge
Vitesse Away
29.4% 29,352 wins
26.2% Draw
44.5% 44,464 wins
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.60
Likeliest score
1-1 12.2% Top Vitesse win: 1-2 9%
Both score
57.4%
Over 2.5
54.2%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Niels Boel De Geusselt, Maastricht

MVV Maastricht vs Vitesse in numbers 100,000 simulations · Eerste Divisie · Tomorrow, 13:30

MVV Maastricht vs Vitesse simulation probabilities
MVV Maastricht win29.4%
Draw26.2%
Vitesse win44.5%
Most likely score1-1 (12.2%)
Expected goals1.26 – 1.60
Both teams to score57.4%
Over 1.5 goals78.4%
Over 2.5 goals54.2%
Over 3.5 goals32.2%
MVV Maastricht score first41.4%
Vitesse score first51.6%
MVV Maastricht clean sheet20.6%
Vitesse clean sheet28.8%
Football simulation API

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Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

MVV Maastricht vs Vitesse prediction FAQs

Who will win MVV Maastricht vs Vitesse?

Vitesse are favourites. They win 44.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.2% for the draw and 29.4% for MVV Maastricht. Including the draw, Vitesse avoid defeat 70.7% of the time.

What is the most likely score in MVV Maastricht vs Vitesse?

1-1, which came up in 12.2% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9%) and 0-1 (8.4%). The likeliest Vitesse win is 1-2 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in MVV Maastricht vs Vitesse?

Both teams score in 57.4% of simulations. MVV Maastricht keep a clean sheet 20.6% of the time and Vitesse 28.8%.

How many goals will there be in MVV Maastricht vs Vitesse?

The simulations average 2.86 goals: 1.26 for MVV Maastricht and 1.60 for Vitesse. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.2% and over 3.5 goals 32.2%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.