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  1. Simulations
  2. Necaxa vs Atlas
Liga MX · 100,000 simulations

Necaxa vs Atlas prediction

We simulated Necaxa vs Atlas 100,000 times. Atlas won 44,873 of them (44.9%), the draw came up 25.2% of the time and Necaxa won 29.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.5%, while the likeliest Atlas win is 1-2 (9%). Both teams score in 62.1% of simulations.

Necaxa badge
Necaxa Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
0–2 Full time
Atlas badge
Atlas Away
29.9% 29,939 wins
25.2% Draw
44.9% 44,873 wins
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.74
Likeliest score
1-1 11.5% Top Atlas win: 1-2 9%
Both score
62.1%
Over 2.5
60.1%

Full time 0-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Atlas winning 44.9% and gave this exact score 6.7%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Víctor Alfonso Cáceres Hernández Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes, Aguascalientes

Necaxa vs Atlas in numbers 100,000 simulations · Liga MX · Saturday 17 October, 02:00

Necaxa vs Atlas simulation probabilities
Necaxa win29.9%
Draw25.2%
Atlas win44.9%
Most likely score1-1 (11.5%)
Expected goals1.39 – 1.74
Both teams to score62.1%
Over 1.5 goals82.4%
Over 2.5 goals60.1%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Necaxa score first45%
Atlas score first49.2%
Necaxa clean sheet18%
Atlas clean sheet25.4%
Football simulation API

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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
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Necaxa vs Atlas prediction FAQs

Who will win Necaxa vs Atlas?

Atlas are favourites. They win 44.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.2% for the draw and 29.9% for Necaxa. Including the draw, Atlas avoid defeat 70.1% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Necaxa vs Atlas?

1-1, which came up in 11.5% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9%) and 2-1 (7.2%). The likeliest Atlas win is 1-2 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Necaxa vs Atlas?

Both teams score in 62.1% of simulations. Necaxa keep a clean sheet 18% of the time and Atlas 25.4%.

How many goals will there be in Necaxa vs Atlas?

The simulations average 3.12 goals: 1.39 for Necaxa and 1.74 for Atlas. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.1% and over 3.5 goals 38%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.