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  1. Simulations
  2. Qatar vs Australia
Friendly International · 100,000 simulations

Qatar vs Australia prediction

We simulated Qatar vs Australia 100,000 times. Australia won 50,839 of them (50.8%), the draw came up 26.9% of the time and Qatar won 22.3%. The most likely score is 0-1 (13.2%), and both teams score in 46.2% of simulations.

Qatar badge
Qatar Abdullah bin Nasser bin Khalifa Stadium
0–3 Full time
Australia badge
Australia Away
22.3% 22,272 wins
26.9% Draw
50.8% 50,839 wins
Expected goals
0.90 – 1.51
Likeliest score
0-1 13.2%
Both score
46.2%
Over 2.5
43.1%

Full time 0-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Australia winning 50.8% and gave this exact score 5.1%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Yahya Mohammed Ali Hassan Al Mulla Abdullah bin Nasser bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha

Qatar vs Australia in numbers 100,000 simulations · Friendly International · Friday 13 November, 14:45

Qatar vs Australia simulation probabilities
Qatar win22.3%
Draw26.9%
Australia win50.8%
Most likely score0-1 (13.2%)
Expected goals0.90 – 1.51
Both teams to score46.2%
Over 1.5 goals69.4%
Over 2.5 goals43.1%
Over 3.5 goals22.4%
Qatar score first36.1%
Australia score first54.6%
Qatar clean sheet22.6%
Australia clean sheet40.9%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

See the API Try it for 48 hours, £9.99 
GET /api/predictions/generate/420721055
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Qatar vs Australia prediction FAQs

Who will win Qatar vs Australia?

Australia are favourites. They win 50.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.9% for the draw and 22.3% for Qatar. Including the draw, Australia avoid defeat 77.7% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Qatar vs Australia?

0-1, which came up in 13.2% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (12.5%) and 0-2 (10.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Qatar vs Australia?

Both teams score in 46.2% of simulations. Qatar keep a clean sheet 22.6% of the time and Australia 40.9%.

How many goals will there be in Qatar vs Australia?

The simulations average 2.41 goals: 0.90 for Qatar and 1.51 for Australia. Over 1.5 goals lands 69.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 43.1% and over 3.5 goals 22.4%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.