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  1. Simulations
  2. Uganda vs Botswana
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications · 100,000 simulations

Uganda vs Botswana prediction

We simulated Uganda vs Botswana 100,000 times. Uganda won 59,244 of them (59.2%), the draw came up 26.3% of the time and Botswana won 14.5%. The most likely score is 1-0 (15.8%), and both teams score in 39.1% of simulations.

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Uganda Home
Today
Botswana badge
Botswana Away
59.2% 59,244 wins
26.3% Draw
14.5% 14,490 wins
Expected goals
1.61 – 0.66
Likeliest score
1-0 15.8%
Both score
39.1%
Over 2.5
39.5%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated

Uganda vs Botswana in numbers 100,000 simulations · Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications · Today, 16:00

Uganda vs Botswana simulation probabilities
Uganda win59.2%
Draw26.3%
Botswana win14.5%
Most likely score1-0 (15.8%)
Expected goals1.61 – 0.66
Both teams to score39.1%
Over 1.5 goals66.7%
Over 2.5 goals39.5%
Over 3.5 goals19.6%
Uganda score first60.2%
Botswana score first28.1%
Uganda clean sheet51.8%
Botswana clean sheet20.5%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420728724
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Uganda vs Botswana prediction FAQs

Who will win Uganda vs Botswana?

Uganda are favourites. They win 59.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.3% for the draw and 14.5% for Botswana. Including the draw, Uganda avoid defeat 85.5% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Uganda vs Botswana?

1-0, which came up in 15.8% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (13.2%) and 1-1 (11.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Uganda vs Botswana?

Both teams score in 39.1% of simulations. Uganda keep a clean sheet 51.8% of the time and Botswana 20.5%.

How many goals will there be in Uganda vs Botswana?

The simulations average 2.27 goals: 1.61 for Uganda and 0.66 for Botswana. Over 1.5 goals lands 66.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 39.5% and over 3.5 goals 19.6%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.