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We simulated Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932 100,000 times. Amarante won 40,680 of them (40.7%), the draw came up 30.6% of the time and Felgueiras 1932 won 28.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.2%, while the likeliest Amarante win is 1-0 (11.5%). Both teams score in 46.9% of simulations.
| Amarante win | 40.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 30.6% |
| Felgueiras 1932 win | 28.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (14.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.27 – 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | 46.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 20.1% |
| Amarante score first | 46% |
| Felgueiras 1932 score first | 42.1% |
| Amarante clean sheet | 36.2% |
| Felgueiras 1932 clean sheet | 28.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420615564 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Amarante are favourites. They win 40.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 30.6% for the draw and 28.7% for Felgueiras 1932. Including the draw, Amarante avoid defeat 71.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 14.2% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (11.6%) and 1-0 (11.5%). The likeliest Amarante win is 1-0 (11.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 46.9% of simulations. Amarante keep a clean sheet 36.2% of the time and Felgueiras 1932 28.5%.
The simulations average 2.30 goals: 1.27 for Amarante and 1.03 for Felgueiras 1932. Over 1.5 goals lands 67.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 40.2% and over 3.5 goals 20.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.