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Serie C: Girone A · 100,000 simulations

Cittadella vs Folgore Caratese prediction

We simulated Cittadella vs Folgore Caratese 100,000 times. Cittadella won 66,566 of them (66.6%), the draw came up 21.6% of the time and Folgore Caratese won 11.8%. The most likely score is 1-0 (14.7%), and both teams score in 40.3% of simulations.

Cittadella badge
Cittadella Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato
Today
Folgore Caratese badge
Folgore Caratese Away
66.6% 66,566 wins
21.6% Draw
11.8% 11,823 wins
Expected goals
1.89 – 0.65
Likeliest score
1-0 14.7%
Both score
40.3%
Over 2.5
46.4%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, Cittadella

Cittadella vs Folgore Caratese in numbers 100,000 simulations · Serie C: Girone A · Today, 16:30

Cittadella vs Folgore Caratese simulation probabilities
Cittadella win66.6%
Draw21.6%
Folgore Caratese win11.8%
Most likely score1-0 (14.7%)
Expected goals1.89 – 0.65
Both teams to score40.3%
Over 1.5 goals71.9%
Over 2.5 goals46.4%
Over 3.5 goals25.2%
Cittadella score first64.8%
Folgore Caratese score first26.9%
Cittadella clean sheet52.6%
Folgore Caratese clean sheet15.5%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420664803
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Cittadella vs Folgore Caratese prediction FAQs

Who will win Cittadella vs Folgore Caratese?

Cittadella are favourites. They win 66.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.6% for the draw and 11.8% for Folgore Caratese. Including the draw, Cittadella avoid defeat 88.2% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Cittadella vs Folgore Caratese?

1-0, which came up in 14.7% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (14%) and 1-1 (9.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Cittadella vs Folgore Caratese?

Both teams score in 40.3% of simulations. Cittadella keep a clean sheet 52.6% of the time and Folgore Caratese 15.5%.

How many goals will there be in Cittadella vs Folgore Caratese?

The simulations average 2.54 goals: 1.89 for Cittadella and 0.65 for Folgore Caratese. Over 1.5 goals lands 71.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 46.4% and over 3.5 goals 25.2%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.