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  1. Simulations
  2. Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu
J2-League · 100,000 simulations

Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu prediction

We simulated Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu 100,000 times. Sagan Tosu won 45,538 of them (45.5%), the draw came up 25.6% of the time and Consadole Sapporo won 28.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12%, while the likeliest Sagan Tosu win is 0-1 (11.5%). Both teams score in 50.6% of simulations.

Consadole Sapporo badge
Consadole Sapporo Sapporo Atsubetsu Park Stadium
Today
Sagan Tosu badge
Sagan Tosu Away
28.9% 28,872 wins
25.6% Draw
45.5% 45,538 wins
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.46
Likeliest score
1-1 12% Top Sagan Tosu win: 0-1 11.5%
Both score
50.6%
Over 2.5
47.1%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Sapporo Atsubetsu Park Stadium, Japan

Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu in numbers 100,000 simulations · J2-League · Today, 04:00

Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu simulation probabilities
Consadole Sapporo win28.9%
Draw25.6%
Sagan Tosu win45.5%
Most likely score1-1 (12%)
Expected goals1.10 – 1.46
Both teams to score50.6%
Over 1.5 goals72.1%
Over 2.5 goals47.1%
Over 3.5 goals25.7%
Consadole Sapporo score first38.9%
Sagan Tosu score first53.7%
Consadole Sapporo clean sheet23.6%
Sagan Tosu clean sheet33.5%
Football simulation API

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Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu prediction FAQs

Who will win Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?

Sagan Tosu are favourites. They win 45.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.6% for the draw and 28.9% for Consadole Sapporo. Including the draw, Sagan Tosu avoid defeat 71.1% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?

1-1, which came up in 12% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (11.5%) and 1-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win is 0-1 (11.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?

Both teams score in 50.6% of simulations. Consadole Sapporo keep a clean sheet 23.6% of the time and Sagan Tosu 33.5%.

How many goals will there be in Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?

The simulations average 2.56 goals: 1.10 for Consadole Sapporo and 1.46 for Sagan Tosu. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 47.1% and over 3.5 goals 25.7%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.