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We simulated Cosenza vs Casertana 100,000 times. Casertana won 38,291 of them (38.3%), the draw came up 31.3% of the time and Cosenza won 30.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.5%, while the likeliest Casertana win is 0-1 (10.9%). Both teams score in 47.4% of simulations.
| Cosenza win | 30.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 31.3% |
| Casertana win | 38.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (14.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.07 – 1.23 |
| Both teams to score | 47.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 20.1% |
| Cosenza score first | 44.1% |
| Casertana score first | 44% |
| Cosenza clean sheet | 29.7% |
| Casertana clean sheet | 34.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420665131 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Casertana are favourites. They win 38.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 31.3% for the draw and 30.4% for Cosenza. Including the draw, Casertana avoid defeat 69.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 14.5% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (11.9%) and 0-1 (10.9%). The likeliest Casertana win is 0-1 (10.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.4% of simulations. Cosenza keep a clean sheet 29.7% of the time and Casertana 34.8%.
The simulations average 2.29 goals: 1.07 for Cosenza and 1.23 for Casertana. Over 1.5 goals lands 67.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 40.1% and over 3.5 goals 20.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.