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Premier League · 100,000 simulations

Homeboyz vs KCB prediction

We simulated Homeboyz vs KCB 100,000 times. KCB won 35,263 of them (35.3%), the draw came up 31.2% of the time and Homeboyz won 33.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.4%, while the likeliest KCB win is 0-1 (10.6%). Both teams score in 47% of simulations.

Homeboyz badge
Homeboyz Bukhungu Stadium
Today
KCB badge
KCB Away
33.6% 33,571 wins
31.2% Draw
35.3% 35,263 wins
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.15
Likeliest score
1-1 14.4% Top KCB win: 0-1 10.6%
Both score
47%
Over 2.5
39.6%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Bukhungu Stadium, Kenya

Homeboyz vs KCB in numbers 100,000 simulations · Premier League · Today, 12:00

Homeboyz vs KCB simulation probabilities
Homeboyz win33.6%
Draw31.2%
KCB win35.3%
Most likely score1-1 (14.4%)
Expected goals1.12 – 1.15
Both teams to score47%
Over 1.5 goals67.3%
Over 2.5 goals39.6%
Over 3.5 goals19.6%
Homeboyz score first45.4%
KCB score first42.5%
Homeboyz clean sheet31.9%
KCB clean sheet33%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420737152
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Homeboyz vs KCB prediction FAQs

Who will win Homeboyz vs KCB?

KCB are favourites. They win 35.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 31.2% for the draw and 33.6% for Homeboyz. Including the draw, KCB avoid defeat 66.4% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Homeboyz vs KCB?

1-1, which came up in 14.4% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (11.9%) and 0-1 (10.6%). The likeliest KCB win is 0-1 (10.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Homeboyz vs KCB?

Both teams score in 47% of simulations. Homeboyz keep a clean sheet 31.9% of the time and KCB 33%.

How many goals will there be in Homeboyz vs KCB?

The simulations average 2.27 goals: 1.12 for Homeboyz and 1.15 for KCB. Over 1.5 goals lands 67.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 39.6% and over 3.5 goals 19.6%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.