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  1. Simulations
  2. JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda
KNVB Beker · 100,000 simulations

JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda prediction

We simulated JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda 100,000 times. NAC Breda won 89,087 of them (89.1%), the draw came up 8% of the time and JOS Watergraafsmeer won 3%. The most likely score is 0-3 (11.8%), and both teams score in 42.9% of simulations.

JOS Watergraafsmeer badge
JOS Watergraafsmeer Sportpark Drie Burg
1–3 Full time
NAC Breda badge
NAC Breda Away
3% 2,966 wins
8% Draw
89.1% 89,087 wins
Expected goals
0.59 – 3.53
Likeliest score
0-3 11.8%
Both score
42.9%
Over 2.5
77.1%

Full time 1-3. Before kick-off the simulations had NAC Breda winning 89.1% and gave this exact score 6.8%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Stan Smit Sportpark Drie Burg, Netherlands

JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda in numbers 100,000 simulations · KNVB Beker · Wednesday 28 October, 19:00

JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda simulation probabilities
JOS Watergraafsmeer win3%
Draw8%
NAC Breda win89.1%
Most likely score0-3 (11.8%)
Expected goals0.59 – 3.53
Both teams to score42.9%
Over 1.5 goals91.3%
Over 2.5 goals77.1%
Over 3.5 goals58.3%
JOS Watergraafsmeer score first12.5%
NAC Breda score first85.4%
JOS Watergraafsmeer clean sheet3.2%
NAC Breda clean sheet55.9%
Football simulation API

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Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
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JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda prediction FAQs

Who will win JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda?

NAC Breda are favourites. They win 89.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 8% for the draw and 3% for JOS Watergraafsmeer. Including the draw, NAC Breda avoid defeat 97% of the time.

What is the most likely score in JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda?

0-3, which came up in 11.8% of simulations. Next are 0-4 (10.3%) and 0-2 (10.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda?

Both teams score in 42.9% of simulations. JOS Watergraafsmeer keep a clean sheet 3.2% of the time and NAC Breda 55.9%.

How many goals will there be in JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda?

The simulations average 4.12 goals: 0.59 for JOS Watergraafsmeer and 3.53 for NAC Breda. Over 1.5 goals lands 91.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 77.1% and over 3.5 goals 58.3%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.