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MLS · 100,000 simulations

New England vs Philadelphia Union prediction

We simulated New England vs Philadelphia Union 100,000 times. Philadelphia Union won 40,895 of them (40.9%), the draw came up 26% of the time and New England won 33.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.6%, while the likeliest Philadelphia Union win is 1-2 (8.6%). Both teams score in 65.6% of simulations.

New England badge
New England Boston Stadium
Saturday 21 November
Philadelphia Union badge
Philadelphia Union Away
33.1% 33,077 wins
26% Draw
40.9% 40,895 wins
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.73
Likeliest score
1-1 11.6% Top Philadelphia win: 1-2 8.6%
Both score
65.6%
Over 2.5
63.2%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Boston Stadium, Foxborough

New England vs Philadelphia Union in numbers 100,000 simulations · MLS · Saturday 21 November, 19:00

New England vs Philadelphia Union simulation probabilities
New England win33.1%
Draw26%
Philadelphia Union win40.9%
Most likely score1-1 (11.6%)
Expected goals1.54 – 1.73
Both teams to score65.6%
Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals63.2%
Over 3.5 goals41.3%
New England score first47.5%
Philadelphia Union score first47.2%
New England clean sheet18.2%
Philadelphia Union clean sheet21.8%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420744755
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

New England vs Philadelphia Union prediction FAQs

Who will win New England vs Philadelphia Union?

Philadelphia Union are favourites. They win 40.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26% for the draw and 33.1% for New England. Including the draw, Philadelphia Union avoid defeat 66.9% of the time.

What is the most likely score in New England vs Philadelphia Union?

1-1, which came up in 11.6% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.6%) and 2-1 (7.7%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win is 1-2 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in New England vs Philadelphia Union?

Both teams score in 65.6% of simulations. New England keep a clean sheet 18.2% of the time and Philadelphia Union 21.8%.

How many goals will there be in New England vs Philadelphia Union?

The simulations average 3.27 goals: 1.54 for New England and 1.73 for Philadelphia Union. Over 1.5 goals lands 85% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.2% and over 3.5 goals 41.3%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.