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We simulated Novara vs Lecco 100,000 times. Lecco won 41,205 of them (41.2%), the draw came up 31% of the time and Novara won 27.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.6%, while the likeliest Lecco win is 0-1 (9.5%). Both teams score in 51.6% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 31% and gave this exact score 14.6%.
| Novara win | 27.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 31% |
| Lecco win | 41.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (14.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.10 – 1.38 |
| Both teams to score | 51.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% |
| Novara score first | 36.7% |
| Lecco score first | 52.6% |
| Novara clean sheet | 25.5% |
| Lecco clean sheet | 33.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420664812 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Lecco are favourites. They win 41.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 31% for the draw and 27.8% for Novara. Including the draw, Lecco avoid defeat 72.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 14.6% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (10.7%) and 0-1 (9.5%). The likeliest Lecco win is 0-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.6% of simulations. Novara keep a clean sheet 25.5% of the time and Lecco 33.6%.
The simulations average 2.48 goals: 1.10 for Novara and 1.38 for Lecco. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 45.1% and over 3.5 goals 24%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.