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Serie C: Girone A · 100,000 simulations

Novara vs Lecco prediction

We simulated Novara vs Lecco 100,000 times. Lecco won 41,205 of them (41.2%), the draw came up 31% of the time and Novara won 27.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.6%, while the likeliest Lecco win is 0-1 (9.5%). Both teams score in 51.6% of simulations.

Novara badge
Novara Stadio Città di Meda
1–1 Full time
Lecco badge
Lecco Away
27.8% 27,841 wins
31% Draw
41.2% 41,205 wins
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.38
Likeliest score
1-1 14.6% Top Lecco win: 0-1 9.5%
Both score
51.6%
Over 2.5
45.1%

Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 31% and gave this exact score 14.6%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Stadio Città di Meda, Meda

Novara vs Lecco in numbers 100,000 simulations · Serie C: Girone A · Today, 11:30

Novara vs Lecco simulation probabilities
Novara win27.8%
Draw31%
Lecco win41.2%
Most likely score1-1 (14.6%)
Expected goals1.10 – 1.38
Both teams to score51.6%
Over 1.5 goals72.7%
Over 2.5 goals45.1%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Novara score first36.7%
Lecco score first52.6%
Novara clean sheet25.5%
Lecco clean sheet33.6%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420664812
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Novara vs Lecco prediction FAQs

Who will win Novara vs Lecco?

Lecco are favourites. They win 41.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 31% for the draw and 27.8% for Novara. Including the draw, Lecco avoid defeat 72.2% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Novara vs Lecco?

1-1, which came up in 14.6% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (10.7%) and 0-1 (9.5%). The likeliest Lecco win is 0-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Novara vs Lecco?

Both teams score in 51.6% of simulations. Novara keep a clean sheet 25.5% of the time and Lecco 33.6%.

How many goals will there be in Novara vs Lecco?

The simulations average 2.48 goals: 1.10 for Novara and 1.38 for Lecco. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 45.1% and over 3.5 goals 24%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.