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We simulated Pergolettese vs Pro Vercelli 100,000 times. Pergolettese won 44,175 of them (44.2%), the draw came up 27.9% of the time and Pro Vercelli won 28%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.2%, while the likeliest Pergolettese win is 1-0 (9.4%). Both teams score in 53.9% of simulations.
| Pergolettese win | 44.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.9% |
| Pro Vercelli win | 28% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.51 – 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | 53.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.8% |
| Pergolettese score first | 49.2% |
| Pro Vercelli score first | 42.4% |
| Pergolettese clean sheet | 32% |
| Pro Vercelli clean sheet | 22.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420664830 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Pergolettese are favourites. They win 44.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.9% for the draw and 28% for Pro Vercelli. Including the draw, Pergolettese avoid defeat 72.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.2% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest Pergolettese win is 1-0 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.9% of simulations. Pergolettese keep a clean sheet 32% of the time and Pro Vercelli 22.6%.
The simulations average 2.66 goals: 1.51 for Pergolettese and 1.15 for Pro Vercelli. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.4% and over 3.5 goals 27.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.