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We simulated Russia vs Venezuela 100,000 times. Russia won 64,387 of them (64.4%), the draw came up 22.5% of the time and Venezuela won 13.1%. The most likely score is 1-0 (13.8%), and both teams score in 42.8% of simulations.
| Russia win | 64.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.5% |
| Venezuela win | 13.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (13.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.88 – 0.71 |
| Both teams to score | 42.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.1% |
| Russia score first | 67.8% |
| Venezuela score first | 23.8% |
| Russia clean sheet | 49.7% |
| Venezuela clean sheet | 15.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420741616 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Russia are favourites. They win 64.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.5% for the draw and 13.1% for Venezuela. Including the draw, Russia avoid defeat 86.9% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 13.8% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (13.1%) and 1-1 (10.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 42.8% of simulations. Russia keep a clean sheet 49.7% of the time and Venezuela 15.9%.
The simulations average 2.58 goals: 1.88 for Russia and 0.71 for Venezuela. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 47.4% and over 3.5 goals 26.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.