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UEFA Champions League · 100,000 simulations

Sabah vs Borussia Dortmund prediction

We simulated Sabah vs Borussia Dortmund 100,000 times. Borussia Dortmund won 73,680 of them (73.7%), the draw came up 15.9% of the time and Sabah won 10.4%. The most likely score is 0-2 (10.6%), and both teams score in 53% of simulations.

Sabah badge
Sabah Bakı Olimpiya Stadionu
1–2 Full time
Borussia Dortmund badge
Borussia Dortmund Away
10.4% 10,420 wins
15.9% Draw
73.7% 73,680 wins
Expected goals
0.86 – 2.57
Likeliest score
0-2 10.6%
Both score
53%
Over 2.5
66.2%

Full time 1-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Borussia Dortmund winning 73.7% and gave this exact score 9%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Javier Alberola Rojas Bakı Olimpiya Stadionu, Baku

Sabah vs Borussia Dortmund in numbers 100,000 simulations · UEFA Champions League · Tuesday 20 October, 17:45

Sabah vs Borussia Dortmund simulation probabilities
Sabah win10.4%
Draw15.9%
Borussia Dortmund win73.7%
Most likely score0-2 (10.6%)
Expected goals0.86 – 2.57
Both teams to score53%
Over 1.5 goals85.4%
Over 2.5 goals66.2%
Over 3.5 goals44.7%
Sabah score first22.5%
Borussia Dortmund score first74%
Sabah clean sheet8%
Borussia Dortmund clean sheet42.5%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420676179
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Sabah vs Borussia Dortmund prediction FAQs

Who will win Sabah vs Borussia Dortmund?

Borussia Dortmund are favourites. They win 73.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 15.9% for the draw and 10.4% for Sabah. Including the draw, Borussia Dortmund avoid defeat 89.6% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Sabah vs Borussia Dortmund?

0-2, which came up in 10.6% of simulations. Next are 0-3 (9%) and 1-2 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Sabah vs Borussia Dortmund?

Both teams score in 53% of simulations. Sabah keep a clean sheet 8% of the time and Borussia Dortmund 42.5%.

How many goals will there be in Sabah vs Borussia Dortmund?

The simulations average 3.43 goals: 0.86 for Sabah and 2.57 for Borussia Dortmund. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 66.2% and over 3.5 goals 44.7%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.