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  1. Simulations
  2. Ufa vs Spartak Kostroma
FNL · 100,000 simulations

Ufa vs Spartak Kostroma prediction

We simulated Ufa vs Spartak Kostroma 100,000 times. Ufa won 38,766 of them (38.8%), the draw came up 30.9% of the time and Spartak Kostroma won 30.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.9%, while the likeliest Ufa win is 1-0 (13%). Both teams score in 42.9% of simulations.

Ufa badge
Ufa Stadion Neftyanik
Today
Spartak Kostroma badge
Spartak Kostroma Away
38.8% 38,766 wins
30.9% Draw
30.3% 30,329 wins
Expected goals
1.15 – 0.98
Likeliest score
1-1 13.9% Top Ufa win: 1-0 13%
Both score
42.9%
Over 2.5
35.7%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Stadion Neftyanik, Ufa

Ufa vs Spartak Kostroma in numbers 100,000 simulations · FNL · Today, 11:30

Ufa vs Spartak Kostroma simulation probabilities
Ufa win38.8%
Draw30.9%
Spartak Kostroma win30.3%
Most likely score1-1 (13.9%)
Expected goals1.15 – 0.98
Both teams to score42.9%
Over 1.5 goals63.1%
Over 2.5 goals35.7%
Over 3.5 goals16.8%
Ufa score first48%
Spartak Kostroma score first39.4%
Ufa clean sheet37.9%
Spartak Kostroma clean sheet32.1%
Football simulation API

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Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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  ?v=2
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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Ufa vs Spartak Kostroma prediction FAQs

Who will win Ufa vs Spartak Kostroma?

Ufa are favourites. They win 38.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 30.9% for the draw and 30.3% for Spartak Kostroma. Including the draw, Ufa avoid defeat 69.7% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Ufa vs Spartak Kostroma?

1-1, which came up in 13.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (13%) and 0-0 (12.8%). The likeliest Ufa win is 1-0 (13%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Ufa vs Spartak Kostroma?

Both teams score in 42.9% of simulations. Ufa keep a clean sheet 37.9% of the time and Spartak Kostroma 32.1%.

How many goals will there be in Ufa vs Spartak Kostroma?

The simulations average 2.12 goals: 1.15 for Ufa and 0.98 for Spartak Kostroma. Over 1.5 goals lands 63.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 35.7% and over 3.5 goals 16.8%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.