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Premier League · 100,000 simulations

Van vs Ararat-Armenia prediction

We simulated Van vs Ararat-Armenia 100,000 times. Van won 89,513 of them (89.5%), the draw came up 7.8% of the time and Ararat-Armenia won 2.7%. The most likely score is 3-0 (15%), and both teams score in 29.4% of simulations.

Van badge
Van Charentsavan City Stadium (Charentsavan)
Friday 20 November
Ararat-Armenia badge
Ararat-Armenia Away
89.5% 89,513 wins
7.8% Draw
2.7% 2,663 wins
Expected goals
3.11 – 0.37
Likeliest score
3-0 15%
Both score
29.4%
Over 2.5
66.9%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Charentsavan City Stadium (Charentsavan)

Van vs Ararat-Armenia in numbers 100,000 simulations · Premier League · Friday 20 November, 11:00

Van vs Ararat-Armenia simulation probabilities
Van win89.5%
Draw7.8%
Ararat-Armenia win2.7%
Most likely score3-0 (15%)
Expected goals3.11 – 0.37
Both teams to score29.4%
Over 1.5 goals85.4%
Over 2.5 goals66.9%
Over 3.5 goals45.7%
Van score first84.2%
Ararat-Armenia score first12.4%
Van clean sheet68.9%
Ararat-Armenia clean sheet4.9%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420576405
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Van vs Ararat-Armenia prediction FAQs

Who will win Van vs Ararat-Armenia?

Van are favourites. They win 89.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 7.8% for the draw and 2.7% for Ararat-Armenia. Including the draw, Van avoid defeat 97.3% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Van vs Ararat-Armenia?

3-0, which came up in 15% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (14.8%) and 4-0 (11.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Van vs Ararat-Armenia?

Both teams score in 29.4% of simulations. Van keep a clean sheet 68.9% of the time and Ararat-Armenia 4.9%.

How many goals will there be in Van vs Ararat-Armenia?

The simulations average 3.48 goals: 3.11 for Van and 0.37 for Ararat-Armenia. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 66.9% and over 3.5 goals 45.7%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.