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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético de Madrid 100,000 times. Atlético de Madrid won 43,400 of them (43.4%), the draw came up 25.1% of the time and VfB Stuttgart won 31.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.1%, while the likeliest Atlético de Madrid win is 1-2 (8.8%). Both teams score in 65.2% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 25.1% and gave this exact score 11.1%.
| VfB Stuttgart win | 31.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.1% |
| Atlético de Madrid win | 43.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.50 – 1.79 |
| Both teams to score | 65.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.6% |
| VfB Stuttgart score first | 39% |
| Atlético de Madrid score first | 55.8% |
| VfB Stuttgart clean sheet | 17.2% |
| Atlético de Madrid clean sheet | 22.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420676163 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Atlético de Madrid are favourites. They win 43.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.1% for the draw and 31.5% for VfB Stuttgart. Including the draw, Atlético de Madrid avoid defeat 68.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.1% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.8%) and 2-1 (7.4%). The likeliest Atlético de Madrid win is 1-2 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 65.2% of simulations. VfB Stuttgart keep a clean sheet 17.2% of the time and Atlético de Madrid 22.7%.
The simulations average 3.29 goals: 1.50 for VfB Stuttgart and 1.79 for Atlético de Madrid. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.5% and over 3.5 goals 41.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.