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Primera Division RFEF: Group 1 · 100,000 simulations

Zamora vs Real Avilés prediction

We simulated Zamora vs Real Avilés 100,000 times. Zamora won 44,180 of them (44.2%), the draw came up 27% of the time and Real Avilés won 28.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.7%, while the likeliest Zamora win is 1-0 (9.3%). Both teams score in 54.8% of simulations.

Zamora badge
Zamora Estadio Ruta de la Plata
Today
Real Avilés badge
Real Avilés Away
44.2% 44,180 wins
27% Draw
28.9% 28,857 wins
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.19
Likeliest score
1-1 12.7% Top Zamora win: 1-0 9.3%
Both score
54.8%
Over 2.5
50.9%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Imanol Irurtzun Artola Estadio Ruta de la Plata, Zamora

Zamora vs Real Avilés in numbers 100,000 simulations · Primera Division RFEF: Group 1 · Today, 13:15

Zamora vs Real Avilés simulation probabilities
Zamora win44.2%
Draw27%
Real Avilés win28.9%
Most likely score1-1 (12.7%)
Expected goals1.53 – 1.19
Both teams to score54.8%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals50.9%
Over 3.5 goals29.1%
Zamora score first49.9%
Real Avilés score first41.8%
Zamora clean sheet30.8%
Real Avilés clean sheet22.1%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420678171
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Zamora vs Real Avilés prediction FAQs

Who will win Zamora vs Real Avilés?

Zamora are favourites. They win 44.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27% for the draw and 28.9% for Real Avilés. Including the draw, Zamora avoid defeat 71.1% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Zamora vs Real Avilés?

1-1, which came up in 12.7% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest Zamora win is 1-0 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Zamora vs Real Avilés?

Both teams score in 54.8% of simulations. Zamora keep a clean sheet 30.8% of the time and Real Avilés 22.1%.

How many goals will there be in Zamora vs Real Avilés?

The simulations average 2.72 goals: 1.53 for Zamora and 1.19 for Real Avilés. Over 1.5 goals lands 76% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.9% and over 3.5 goals 29.1%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.