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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo 100,000 times. Portland Timbers won 57,272 of them (57.3%), the draw came up 23.1% of the time and Houston Dynamo won 19.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.6%, while the likeliest Portland Timbers win is 2-1 (9.7%). Both teams score in 59.5% of simulations.
Full time 3-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Portland Timbers winning 57.3% and gave this exact score 6.6%.
| Portland Timbers win | 57.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.1% |
| Houston Dynamo win | 19.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.6%) |
| Expected goals | 2.05 – 1.13 |
| Both teams to score | 59.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.2% |
| Portland Timbers score first | 60.5% |
| Houston Dynamo score first | 34.6% |
| Portland Timbers clean sheet | 32.6% |
| Houston Dynamo clean sheet | 13.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510232 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Portland Timbers are favourites. They win 57.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.1% for the draw and 19.6% for Houston Dynamo. Including the draw, Portland Timbers avoid defeat 80.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.6% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win is 2-1 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.5% of simulations. Portland Timbers keep a clean sheet 32.6% of the time and Houston Dynamo 13.3%.
The simulations average 3.18 goals: 2.05 for Portland Timbers and 1.13 for Houston Dynamo. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.2% and over 3.5 goals 39.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
