Win, draw and away chances, both teams to score, goals and the likeliest score for every match this week. Every prediction is checked against the final score, in public.
13,421 finished matches graded over the last 30 days. See the full record
Too close to call: Athletico PR 33%, Palmeiras 37%. Over 2.5 at 42%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Utah Royals W 37%, Kansas City Current W 38%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Carabobo 39%, Deportivo Táchira 31%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-1.
Atenas shade it at 42%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 69%, likeliest score 1-0.
Vélez Sarsfield shade it at 53%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-0.
Rosario Central shade it at 46%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 0-1.
Too close to call: Racing Club 36%, Independiente 37%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-1.
Estudiantes shade it at 58%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 1-0.
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 41%, likeliest score 1-1.
Charleston Battery shade it at 50%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 1-1.
Louisville City are clear favourites at 64%. Over 2.5 at 56%, likeliest score 1-0.
Hartford Athletic shade it at 59%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 2-1.
Rhode Island are clear favourites at 61%. Over 2.5 at 44%, likeliest score 1-0.
Tampa Bay Rowdies shade it at 55%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
Tulsa Roughnecks shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 42%, likeliest score 1-1.
San Antonio shade it at 45%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: El Paso Locomotive 36%, Sacramento Republic 36%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-1.
Colorado Springs shade it at 44%. Both teams to score at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Orange County 36%, Phoenix Rising 37%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Las Vegas Lights 39%, Lexington 36%. Both teams to score at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Birmingham Legion shade it at 50%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 1-1.
Union Omaha shade it at 54%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 1-2.
Greenville Triumph shade it at 42%. Both teams to score at 63%, likeliest score 1-1.
Fort Wayne shade it at 47%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Athletic Club Boise are clear favourites at 66%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 2-1.
Spokane Velocity shade it at 47%. Both teams to score at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
San Diego Wave W shade it at 44%. Both teams to score at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Denver Summit W shade it at 48%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Houston Dash W 36%, Orlando Pride W 39%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Bay FC W 40%, Portland Thorns W 34%. Both teams to score at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Millonarios are clear favourites at 75%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 2-0.
Independiente Medellín shade it at 40%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-1.
Rionegro Águilas shade it at 45%. Over 2.5 at 43%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Atlético Bucaramanga 39%, América de Cali 31%. Over 2.5 at 43%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Santos Laguna 37%, Querétaro 36%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-1.
Home win odds overpriced – avoid Santos
Our model rates a home win at just 35.96% while the market implies 43.1%, creating a –7.14% value gap. Santos have won only 40% of their home games this season and lead at half‑time in just 20% of those matches. Although they won 4 of their last 5 at home, the overall home win percentage and low half‑time success suggest the odds are overpriced.
Guadalajara shade it at 52%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
Toluca are clear favourites at 66%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 2-1.
América shade it at 44%. Both teams to score at 59%, likeliest score 1-1.
Cruz Azul are clear favourites at 63%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 60%, likeliest score 2-1.
Melgar are clear favourites at 74%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 2-0.
Alianza Lima are clear favourites at 65%. Over 2.5 at 57%, likeliest score 1-0.
Sporting Cristal are clear favourites at 76%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 2-0.
FC Cajamarca shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-1.
Away win offers +7.4% value edge
Our model shows a +7.39% value edge for an away victory. Yet UCV Moquegua have failed to win any of their last five matches, scoring only two goals in that span and averaging just 0.43 goals per away game this season. The contrast highlights a potentially profitable mismatch between odds and recent form.
Alianza Atlético shade it at 46%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-1.
Rosario shade it at 56%. Over 2.5 at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
Lexington W shade it at 51%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Valle de Xico shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
Correcaminos UAT III are clear favourites at 64%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 73%, likeliest score 1-2.
Racing de Veracruz shade it at 46%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 0-1.
Irapuato are clear favourites at 65%. Over 2.5 at 57%, likeliest score 1-0.
Lobos ULMX shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
UNAN Managua shade it at 44%. Both teams to score at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
Managua are clear favourites at 64%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 2-1.
Bartolomé Mitre shade it at 40%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 64%, likeliest score 1-1.
Alvarado shade it at 59%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 68%, likeliest score 1-0.
9 de Julio Rafaela shade it at 52%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 1-0.
Douglas Haig shade it at 54%. Over 2.5 at 41%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Miramar Misiones 33%, Cerrito 37%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Plaza Colonia 38%, River Plate 35%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Rentistas 40%, Atenas 32%. Over 2.5 at 44%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Independiente 39%, Veraguas 33%. Over 2.5 at 48%, likeliest score 1-1.
Melbourne City W shade it at 50%. Over 2.5 at 48%, likeliest score 0-1.
Atletico Choloma shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
Orlando City shade it at 54%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-0.
New York RB shade it at 48%. Over 2.5 at 55%, likeliest score 1-1.
Inter Miami shade it at 47%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Miami's edge on the road
Our model shows a -9.01% value edge for an Inter Miami win, meaning the odds (1.8) overprice the outcome. Miami have won 2 of their last 5 against Atlanta and are unbeaten in their last 3 league games, with 2 recent victories overall. Combine this with Atlanta’s single win in their last 5, indicating Miami’s form and head‑to‑head advantage support a value bet on an away win.
Too close to call: New York City 37%, Los Angeles FC 39%. Both teams to score at 59%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: New England 38%, Chicago Fire 38%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Sporting KC 40%, Real Salt Lake 35%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Vancouver Whitecaps shade it at 45%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-1.
Houston Dynamo shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 55%, likeliest score 1-1.
Portland Timbers shade it at 59%. Over 2.5 at 56%, likeliest score 1-0.
LA Galaxy shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 56%, likeliest score 1-1.
Seattle Sounders shade it at 58%. Over 2.5 at 60%, likeliest score 2-1.
Too close to call: SJ Earthquakes 35%, Nashville SC 39%. Both teams to score at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Cincinnati shade it at 47%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 66%, likeliest score 1-1.
Blooming are clear favourites at 71%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 2-1.
Too close to call: Nacional Potosí 38%, Club Bolívar 37%. Both teams to score at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
The Strongest shade it at 57%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 77%, likeliest score 2-2.
São Paulo shade it at 46%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Grêmio 38%, Cruzeiro 36%. Over 2.5 at 53%, likeliest score 1-1.
Fluminense shade it at 57%. Over 2.5 at 57%, likeliest score 2-1.
Too close to call: Bahia 37%, Flamengo 34%. Over 2.5 at 48%, likeliest score 1-1.
Bragantino shade it at 41%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-1.
Halcones Negros are clear favourites at 62%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 69%, likeliest score 2-1.
FC Santiago shade it at 60%. Over 2.5 at 53%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Village Superstars 40%, St. Pauls United 35%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
Cayon are clear favourites at 72%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 71%, likeliest score 2-0.
Cancún shade it at 57%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 2-1.
Morelia are clear favourites at 64%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 2-1.
Durango are clear favourites at 67%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 66%, likeliest score 2-1.
Universidad Guadalajara are clear favourites at 67%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 70%, likeliest score 2-1.
Home win offers strong value
Our model shows a -12.21% value edge for a home victory, meaning the odds are generous. Universidad Guadalajara have won 2 of their last 5 at home, drawing twice and losing once, and they average 2.80 goals per home match. They also see the over‑2.5 goal line in 80% of home games, underscoring their attacking threat despite the odds.
Isidro Metapán are clear favourites at 60%. Over 2.5 at 44%, likeliest score 1-0.
Águila shade it at 46%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 64%, likeliest score 0-1.
Monterrey W shade it at 54%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 64%, likeliest score 2-1.
Pumas UNAM W are clear favourites at 66%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 68%, likeliest score 2-1.
Too close to call: JFA Academy W 34%, Speranza W 41%. Over 2.5 at 57%, likeliest score 1-1.
Yunogo Belle W are clear favourites at 65%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 64%, likeliest score 1-2.
Too close to call: Inter San Carlos 34%, Alajuelense 37%. Over 2.5 at 43%, likeliest score 1-1.
Cartaginés shade it at 45%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-1.
Herediano shade it at 49%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 0-1.
Melbourne Victory shade it at 47%. Over 2.5 at 55%, likeliest score 1-1.
Dinamo Kirov shade it at 40%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 0-1.
Too close to call: Alaniya Vladikavkaz 34%, Mashuk-KMV 35%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 1-1.
Dinamo Bryansk shade it at 45%. Over 2.5 at 42%, likeliest score 1-1.
Rodina Moskva II shade it at 43%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-0.
Iwaki shade it at 48%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-0.
Verspah Oita shade it at 42%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: TIAMO Hirakata 40%, Grulla 36%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 64%, likeliest score 1-1.
Sydney United 58 FC shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 56%, likeliest score 1-1.
Queensland Lions are clear favourites at 67%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 64%, likeliest score 2-1.
Vissel Kobe shade it at 42%. Over 2.5 at 48%, likeliest score 1-1.
Machida Zelvia shade it at 49%. Over 2.5 at 48%, likeliest score 1-1.
Daejeon Citizen are clear favourites at 62%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-0.
Jeonbuk Motors shade it at 48%. Over 2.5 at 53%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Pohang Steelers 36%, Anyang 36%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-1.
Value Edge on Anyang Away Win
Our model shows a +7.85% value edge for an away victory. Anyang have won 38% of their away games this season and recorded 2 wins in their last five outings away, indicating they can still pick up points on the road. This contrasts with the market odds that imply only a 28% chance, highlighting a profitable upside.
Gangwon shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 41%, likeliest score 1-1.
Seoul shade it at 45%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-1.
Seoul E. shade it at 59%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-0.
Suwon Bluewings shade it at 59%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-0.
Busan I'Park shade it at 50%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-1.
Volga Ulyanovsk shade it at 41%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Ural 34%, FK Nizjni Novgorod 39%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-1.
Chelyabinsk shade it at 47%. Over 2.5 at 44%, likeliest score 0-1.
Veles shade it at 47%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 1-1.
Sagamihara shade it at 41%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Renofa Yamaguchi are clear favourites at 61%. Over 2.5 at 56%, likeliest score 1-0.
Roasso Kumamoto are clear favourites at 61%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 0-1.
South China are clear favourites at 92%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 82%, likeliest score 3-0.
WSE are clear favourites at 82%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 79%, likeliest score 2-0.
Too close to call: Yenisey W 39%, Zvezda 2005 W 37%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
Lokomotiv Moscow W shade it at 54%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-0.
CSKA Moscow W are clear favourites at 89%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 71%, likeliest score 3-0.
Krylya Sovetov W shade it at 50%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 0-1.
Zenit W are clear favourites at 88%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 3-0.
Spartak Moskva W are clear favourites at 81%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 66%, likeliest score 0-2.
Too close to call: Changchun Xidu 36%, Hubei Istar 32%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 68%, likeliest score 1-1.
Dalian Yingbo B shade it at 40%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 1-0.
Xiamen Feilu shade it at 53%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Chengdu Rongcheng II 31%, Haimen Codion 39%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Borneo U20 are clear favourites at 82%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 73%, likeliest score 3-0.
Shandong Sports Lottery W shade it at 56%. Over 2.5 at 44%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Shaanxi Union FC 38%, Guangzhou E-Power FC 31%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-1.
Nantong Zhiyun are clear favourites at 61%. Over 2.5 at 56%, likeliest score 0-1.
Too close to call: Nanjing City 32%, Shijiazhuang Gongfu 38%. Over 2.5 at 40%, likeliest score 1-1.
Shatin shade it at 45%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 68%, likeliest score 2-1.
North District are clear favourites at 63%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 72%, likeliest score 1-2.
Too close to call: Viktoria Žižkov 38%, Táborsko 36%. Both teams to score at 59%, likeliest score 1-1.
Kladno shade it at 45%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 66%, likeliest score 1-1.
Chlumec nad Cidlinou shade it at 58%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 66%, likeliest score 2-1.
Slavičín shade it at 56%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 66%, likeliest score 2-1.
Petrzalka are clear favourites at 62%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 60%, likeliest score 2-1.
Too close to call: Sturm Graz II 39%, Kapfenberger SV 36%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Fürstenfeld are clear favourites at 65%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 75%, likeliest score 2-1.
Gerasdorf Stammersdorf shade it at 50%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 1-1.
FAC Wien shade it at 43%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 1-1.
OFI U19 shade it at 50%. Over 2.5 at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
Persebaya Surabaya shade it at 58%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-0.
Persib are clear favourites at 69%. Over 2.5 at 55%, likeliest score 2-0.
Sumsel United are clear favourites at 68%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 2-0.
Deltras shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Lokomotiv Kyiv shade it at 52%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-0.
Oleksandria shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Polissya II shade it at 49%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-1.
Kisvárda II are clear favourites at 74%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 64%, likeliest score 0-2.
Debrecen II are clear favourites at 69%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 2-0.
Újpest II shade it at 51%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 1-1.
Honvéd II shade it at 50%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 2-1.
Dabas are clear favourites at 75%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 69%, likeliest score 3-0.
Hoffenheim II W are clear favourites at 61%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 2-0.
St. Pauli U19 shade it at 49%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 76%, likeliest score 1-2.
Too close to call: RW Essen U19 42%, Dusseldorf U19 37%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 69%, likeliest score 1-1.
Koln U19 are clear favourites at 70%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 69%, likeliest score 2-0.
Bochum U19 shade it at 49%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 78%, likeliest score 2-1.
Union Berlin U19 shade it at 45%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 75%, likeliest score 1-2.
Hamrun Spartans are clear favourites at 65%. Over 2.5 at 43%, likeliest score 0-1.
Birzebbuga shade it at 53%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 0-1.
Floriana shade it at 52%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Wiener Neustadt are clear favourites at 63%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 2-0.
Cavigal U19 shade it at 46%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Saint-Etienne U19 are clear favourites at 63%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 76%, likeliest score 2-1.
Reims U19 shade it at 51%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 68%, likeliest score 2-1.
Too close to call: Rouen U19 35%, Dunkerque U19 42%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 69%, likeliest score 1-1.
Olympique Lyon U19 are clear favourites at 77%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 71%, likeliest score 2-0.
Auxerre AJ U19 shade it at 55%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 2-1.
C' Chartres U19 shade it at 44%. Both teams to score at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Montfermeil U19 shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Lille U19 shade it at 59%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Quevilly U19 38%, Racing Club U19 41%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 72%, likeliest score 1-1.
HAŠK shade it at 58%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 2-1.
Too close to call: Lorca Deportiva 34%, Atlético Baleares 33%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 68%, likeliest score 1-1.
UCAM Murcia shade it at 42%. Over 2.5 at 55%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Castellonense 34%, La Nucia 34%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 1-1.
Castellon II shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
Yeclano shade it at 51%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-0.
Mallorca II shade it at 48%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Intercity shade it at 47%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-1.
Cieza are clear favourites at 62%. Over 2.5 at 53%, likeliest score 1-0.
Alcoyano are clear favourites at 65%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 1-0.
Sporting Escaldes are clear favourites at 70%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 69%, likeliest score 0-3.
FC Santa Coloma are clear favourites at 83%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 0-2.
CE Casa de Portugal shade it at 46%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 1-1.
Inter Club d'Escaldes are clear favourites at 69%. Over 2.5 at 55%, likeliest score 2-0.
Too close to call: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 36%, Botev Plovdiv 36%. Over 2.5 at 44%, likeliest score 1-1.
Fratria shade it at 49%. Over 2.5 at 53%, likeliest score 1-1.
CSKA Sofia are clear favourites at 66%. Over 2.5 at 56%, likeliest score 0-2.
Levski Sofia are clear favourites at 70%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 0-2.
Elva are clear favourites at 71%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 76%, likeliest score 1-2.
Tartu Welco are clear favourites at 67%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 82%, likeliest score 2-1.
Shan United shade it at 56%. Over 2.5 at 55%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Borneo 41%, Yangon United 36%. Over 2.5 at 56%, likeliest score 1-1.
Manila Digger are clear favourites at 63%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 70%, likeliest score 2-1.
Real Valladolid II shade it at 52%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Getafe II shade it at 51%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-0.
Conquense shade it at 57%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-0.
Atlético Tordesillas shade it at 41%. Over 2.5 at 42%, likeliest score 1-1.
SS Reyes shade it at 47%. Over 2.5 at 40%, likeliest score 1-0.
RSD Alcalá shade it at 53%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Numancia shade it at 40%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Salamanca CF UDS shade it at 57%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-0.
Shanghai Shenhua shade it at 46%. Over 2.5 at 56%, likeliest score 1-1.
Beijing Guoan are clear favourites at 64%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Shanghai Port 38%, Chengdu Rongcheng 38%. Over 2.5 at 55%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Altay 40%, Atyrau 34%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-1.
Kairat shade it at 57%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-0.
LNZ Cherkasy shade it at 48%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-1.
Polissya Zhytomyr shade it at 42%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-1.
Karpaty shade it at 46%. Over 2.5 at 48%, likeliest score 1-1.
Polonia W. U19 shade it at 50%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 72%, likeliest score 2-1.
Too close to call: Zaglebie U19 37%, Śląsk Wrocław U19 41%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 70%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Croatia Zmijavci 40%, Mladost Ždralovi 32%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Arenas de Getxo 32%, Merida 40%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: CD Coria 36%, Athletic Club II 35%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Pontevedra 37%, Cacereño 35%. Over 2.5 at 40%, likeliest score 1-1.
Real Avilés shade it at 48%. Over 2.5 at 40%, likeliest score 1-0.
UD Logroñés shade it at 50%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 1-1.
Real Madrid II are clear favourites at 61%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-0.
Sant Andreu shade it at 58%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-0.
Gimnàstic Tarragona shade it at 41%. Over 2.5 at 48%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Real Jaén 35%, Rayo Majadahonda 35%. Over 2.5 at 42%, likeliest score 1-1.
Real Murcia shade it at 45%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-1.
Zimbru W are clear favourites at 95%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 90%, likeliest score 3-0.
Tenerife II shade it at 46%. Both teams to score at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
Marbella shade it at 45%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Antoniano 35%, Sevilla II 36%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Recreativo Huelva shade it at 51%. Over 2.5 at 44%, likeliest score 0-1.
Las Palmas II shade it at 54%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-0.
Real Betis II shade it at 46%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
Don Benito shade it at 56%. Over 2.5 at 44%, likeliest score 1-0.
CD Badajoz shade it at 58%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Xerez 38%, Lucena 32%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 1-1.
Reddis shade it at 40%. Over 2.5 at 40%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Barbastro 36%, Manresa 37%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-1.
Calamocha shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Arnedo 34%, CD Tudelano 40%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Terrassa 32%, Logroñés II 40%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 1-1.
SD Logroñés shade it at 46%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-1.
Nagykanizsa W shade it at 56%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 87%, likeliest score 3-1.
Too close to call: Górnik Zabrze 39%, Piast Gliwice 37%. Both teams to score at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Zagłębie Lubin shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Lech Poznań shade it at 56%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 2-1.
Górnik Łęczna W shade it at 55%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 71%, likeliest score 1-2.
RKC Waalwijk shade it at 57%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 66%, likeliest score 2-1.
Heracles Almelo shade it at 47%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: PEC Zwolle 33%, Go Ahead Eagles 40%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-1.
AZ Alkmaar shade it at 46%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 1-2.
Ajax shade it at 53%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 1-1.
FC Twente are clear favourites at 61%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 2-1.
NEC Nijmegen shade it at 53%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
FC Bacău shade it at 42%. Both teams to score at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
Iğdır FK are clear favourites at 66%. Over 2.5 at 58%, likeliest score 2-0.
Too close to call: Vanspor FK 40%, Ümraniyespor 34%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-1.
Kayserispor shade it at 48%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: İstanbulspor 40%, Antalyaspor 35%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-1.
Home win offers +16% value edge
Our model rates a 45.66% chance for Istanbulspor to win, while the bookmaker odds imply only 29.41%, creating a +16.25% value edge. Yet Istanbulspor has yet to win at home this season (0% home win rate) and managed just one victory in their last five matches, indicating the odds may be undervalued relative to their poor home form.
Too close to call: Kasımpaşa 34%, Samsunspor 36%. Over 2.5 at 41%, likeliest score 1-1.
Kocaelispor shade it at 41%. Over 2.5 at 42%, likeliest score 1-1.
İstanbul Başakşehir shade it at 50%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Campobasso shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 41%, likeliest score 1-1.
Latina are clear favourites at 60%. Over 2.5 at 42%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Gubbio 35%, Atalanta II 37%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 1-1.
Ravenna shade it at 41%. Over 2.5 at 44%, likeliest score 1-1.
Pescara shade it at 52%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Udinese shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Fiorentina 38%, Como 36%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-1.
AC Milan shade it at 45%. Both teams to score at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
Juventus shade it at 54%. Over 2.5 at 48%, likeliest score 1-0.
Rheindorf Altach W shade it at 45%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 71%, likeliest score 1-1.
Austria Wien W shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 57%, likeliest score 1-1.
Rustavi shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-1.
Dinamo Tbilisi shade it at 60%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-0.
Häcken W shade it at 45%. Over 2.5 at 56%, likeliest score 1-1.
Djurgarden W shade it at 47%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 1-1.
FK Dinamo St. Petersburg are clear favourites at 64%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 0-1.
Chertanovo shade it at 43%. Both teams to score at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Luki-Energiya shade it at 50%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
Murom are clear favourites at 61%. Over 2.5 at 55%, likeliest score 1-0.
Olympic shade it at 57%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 72%, likeliest score 2-1.
Home win odds heavily over‑priced
Our model rates the home side’s chance at 57.1% while the market implies 75.2%, creating a -18.1% value edge. Olympic have won 46% of their home games and 77% of those have gone over 2.5 goals, with a 77% BTTS rate. In the last five home outings they earned 7 points (2‑1‑2). The combination of strong home form and the market’s short odds makes the Home Win market unattractive.
Trollhättan shade it at 44%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
AFC Eskilstuna shade it at 48%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 1-1.
Over 2.5 goals over‑priced
Our model rates the chance of a match with more than 2.5 goals at 64.6%, while the odds imply 71.4% – a –6.9% value gap. Vasalund’s home games have gone over 2.5 goals in 69% of matches and AFC’s away fixtures in 92%, yet the market still pushes the price too high. The data suggest an Under 2.5 goal bet offers better value.
Assyriska shade it at 43%. Both teams to score at 59%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Piteå 38%, Sollentuna 36%. Over 2.5 at 53%, likeliest score 1-1.
Hammarby Talang shade it at 49%. Both teams to score at 59%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: United Nordic 41%, Norrby 34%. Both teams to score at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Värnamo shade it at 48%. Both teams to score at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Hvidovre 41%, Hillerød 35%. Both teams to score at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Away win offers +12% value
Our model indicates a +12.27% edge for an away victory (model rating 34.49% vs implied 22.22%). Hillerød have not won any league game away this season (0% away wins), yet in their last five matches they earned 8 points with two wins, two draws and a four‑game unbeaten streak, showing recent momentum that the model rewards.
Zenit are clear favourites at 66%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-0.
Dinamo Moskva shade it at 46%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
Spartak Moskva are clear favourites at 68%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-0.
Baltika Kaliningrad shade it at 45%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-1.
Balatonalmadi are clear favourites at 66%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 72%, likeliest score 1-2.
Haladás VSE are clear favourites at 72%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 66%, likeliest score 2-0.
Zbrojovka Brno shade it at 42%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Sparta Praha shade it at 57%. Over 2.5 at 59%, likeliest score 1-2.
Jablonec shade it at 50%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-1.
Szeged 2011 shade it at 48%. Over 2.5 at 48%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Szentlőrinc SE 35%, Gyirmót 39%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-1.
Soroksár SC shade it at 48%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
VSK Århus shade it at 49%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
KuPS W are clear favourites at 85%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 72%, likeliest score 0-3.
HPS W shade it at 58%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 74%, likeliest score 1-2.
Turan Tovuz are clear favourites at 69%. Over 2.5 at 43%, likeliest score 0-1.
Too close to call: True Bangkok United 41%, Port FC 35%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Sisaket United 34%, BG Pathum United 35%. Over 2.5 at 42%, likeliest score 1-1.
Ratchaburi Mitrphol FC shade it at 47%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-1.
Buriram United shade it at 57%. Over 2.5 at 55%, likeliest score 0-1.
Chelsea W are clear favourites at 65%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 68%, likeliest score 2-1.
Crystal Palace W shade it at 59%. Over 2.5 at 56%, likeliest score 1-1.
Manchester United W shade it at 60%. Over 2.5 at 58%, likeliest score 0-2.
Liverpool W shade it at 48%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 1-1.
London City Lionesses W shade it at 54%. Over 2.5 at 53%, likeliest score 1-0.
Manchester City W are clear favourites at 67%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 72%, likeliest score 2-1.
Svay Rieng shade it at 60%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 73%, likeliest score 2-1.
Kahramanmaraş İstiklalsp shade it at 42%. Over 2.5 at 55%, likeliest score 1-1.
52 Orduspor FK shade it at 52%. Over 2.5 at 56%, likeliest score 1-1.
12 Bingölspor shade it at 42%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
Ankara Demirspor shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı 36%, Sakaryaspor 36%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-1.
Harju Jalgpallikool shade it at 48%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 66%, likeliest score 2-1.
Levadia are clear favourites at 80%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 70%, likeliest score 0-2.
Paide are clear favourites at 62%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 2-1.
Flora shade it at 53%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 68%, likeliest score 2-1.
Hoffenheim II shade it at 43%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: MSV Duisburg 40%, Viktoria Köln 35%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 1-1.
Meppen are clear favourites at 72%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 71%, likeliest score 2-1.
Too close to call: Karlsruher SC 35%, Darmstadt 98 41%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 1-1.
Magdeburg shade it at 45%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 1-1.
DSC Arminia Bielefeld shade it at 46%. Over 2.5 at 53%, likeliest score 1-1.
Vora shade it at 45%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-1.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë shade it at 56%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Kastamonuspor 34%, Isparta Davrazspor 42%. Both teams to score at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
68 Aksaray Belediyespor are clear favourites at 79%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 78%, likeliest score 3-0.
Çorluspor 1947 are clear favourites at 71%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 0-2.
Too close to call: İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik 40%, Sebat Gençlikspor 35%. Over 2.5 at 53%, likeliest score 1-1.
Muş Menderesspor are clear favourites at 61%. Over 2.5 at 56%, likeliest score 1-0.
Aliağa FAŞ shade it at 51%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 1-1.
KAS Eupen shade it at 58%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 1-2.
Gent are clear favourites at 70%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 0-2.
K. Beerschot V.A. shade it at 52%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 2-1.
Sint-Truiden shade it at 55%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 66%, likeliest score 2-1.
Larissa are clear favourites at 62%. Over 2.5 at 41%, likeliest score 1-0.
Panthrakikos are clear favourites at 66%. Over 2.5 at 56%, likeliest score 2-0.
Pyrgos 1968 shade it at 41%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 64%, likeliest score 1-0.
Kallithea shade it at 52%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 0-1.
Too close to call: Dnepr Mogilev 33%, BATE 39%. Over 2.5 at 44%, likeliest score 1-1.
ML Vitebsk shade it at 41%. Over 2.5 at 44%, likeliest score 1-1.
Dalstorps are clear favourites at 64%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 1-2.
Landvetter IS shade it at 53%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 66%, likeliest score 1-2.
Qviding FIF shade it at 47%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 75%, likeliest score 2-1.
Too close to call: Böljan 40%, Kongahälla 39%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 70%, likeliest score 1-1.
Jonsered shade it at 47%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 71%, likeliest score 1-1.
Onsala shade it at 46%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 64%, likeliest score 1-1.
Astorps FF shade it at 59%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 68%, likeliest score 2-1.
Rågsved shade it at 50%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 1-2.
Örebro Syrianska are clear favourites at 66%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 69%, likeliest score 2-0.
Too close to call: Smedby 38%, Sleipner 41%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 1-1.
Nyköping shade it at 53%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 1-2.
FC Nacka Iliria shade it at 60%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 2-1.
Forward shade it at 54%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 72%, likeliest score 2-1.
Farsta are clear favourites at 77%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 76%, likeliest score 3-0.
Trelleborg W are clear favourites at 67%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 0-2.
Nosaby shade it at 45%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 1-1.
Berga shade it at 59%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 75%, likeliest score 2-1.
Solvesborg shade it at 50%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 69%, likeliest score 1-2.
Too close to call: Växjö Norra 39%, Oskarshamns AIK 38%. Both teams to score at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
IFK Trelleborg shade it at 55%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 70%, likeliest score 1-2.
Lilla Torg shade it at 55%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 71%, likeliest score 2-1.
Karlskrona are clear favourites at 84%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 77%, likeliest score 3-0.
Rubin Yalta shade it at 51%. Over 2.5 at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Slonim 35%, Dinamo Minsk II 41%. Both teams to score at 59%, likeliest score 1-1.
Minsk II shade it at 44%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 1-1.
Sirius shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 56%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Västerås SK 41%, Mjällby 33%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-1.
Hammarby shade it at 59%. Over 2.5 at 58%, likeliest score 0-1.
Too close to call: Malmö FF 39%, Häcken 36%. Both teams to score at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
GAIS shade it at 52%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-1.
Cham are clear favourites at 69%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 66%, likeliest score 0-2.
Novi Pazar shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-1.
Crvena Zvezda are clear favourites at 88%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 3-0.
Železničar Pančevo shade it at 42%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
BTTS Yes likely despite short odds
Our model shows a -6.31% edge for Both Teams to Score, meaning the market is overpriced. The home side has BTTS in half of all matches and in two‑thirds of its home games, while the visitors achieve BTTS in 80% of their games and in every away match. The combination of high BTTS rates and the negative value suggests caution on the current price.
Too close to call: Sønderjyske Fodbold 36%, Silkeborg IF 37%. Both teams to score at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Lyngby Boldklub 35%, Nordsjælland 40%. Over 2.5 at 56%, likeliest score 1-1.
Value Bet: Lyngby to Snag Home Win
Our model rates a Lyngby home victory at 36.22%, which is 8.82% higher than the 27.4% implied by the 3.65 odds – a clear value edge. Lyngby have collected 2 wins in their last 5 matches and are on a 3‑game unbeaten run, scoring 7 goals, suggesting they could finally break their season‑long home‑win drought.
Too close to call: Odense BK 38%, Brøndby IF 37%. Both teams to score at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
FC København are clear favourites at 64%. Over 2.5 at 59%, likeliest score 2-1.
Greifswalder FC shade it at 49%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 68%, likeliest score 1-2.
BFC Dynamo shade it at 42%. Over 2.5 at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
Hallescher FC shade it at 47%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 1-2.
Niendorfer TSV shade it at 50%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 78%, likeliest score 2-1.
Nikola Tesla shade it at 46%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 78%, likeliest score 2-1.
VfB Oldenburg are clear favourites at 65%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 68%, likeliest score 1-2.
Too close to call: HSC Hannover 38%, Todesfelde 42%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 71%, likeliest score 1-2.
Eintracht Norderstedt shade it at 56%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 75%, likeliest score 2-1.
Voždovac shade it at 53%. Over 2.5 at 41%, likeliest score 1-0.
Mladost DG shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Dečić shade it at 46%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 1-0.
Homburg shade it at 49%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Eintracht Trier 41%, FSV Frankfurt 36%. Both teams to score at 59%, likeliest score 1-1.
Ceuta shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 56%, likeliest score 1-1.
Granada shade it at 47%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 60%, likeliest score 1-0.
Real Valladolid shade it at 53%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-0.
Girona shade it at 45%. Both teams to score at 59%, likeliest score 1-1.
Burgos shade it at 40%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 1-1.
Osasuna shade it at 49%. Over 2.5 at 55%, likeliest score 1-1.
Celta de Vigo shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 48%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Málaga 37%, Real Sociedad 34%. Over 2.5 at 48%, likeliest score 1-1.
Real Madrid are clear favourites at 71%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 60%, likeliest score 2-0.
HNK Gorica U19 are clear favourites at 61%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 1-2.
Sesvete U19 shade it at 46%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 66%, likeliest score 1-1.
Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 shade it at 58%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 66%, likeliest score 2-1.
Kustošija U19 are clear favourites at 63%. Over 2.5 at 60%, likeliest score 1-0.
Union Berlin W shade it at 54%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 69%, likeliest score 2-1.
Too close to call: Werder Bremen W 41%, Hoffenheim W 35%. Both teams to score at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Wolfsburg W are clear favourites at 89%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 79%, likeliest score 0-3.
KuPS shade it at 53%. Over 2.5 at 53%, likeliest score 1-1.
Victoria Hotspurs shade it at 52%. Over 2.5 at 57%, likeliest score 1-1.
Vittoriosa Stars shade it at 42%. Over 2.5 at 53%, likeliest score 1-1.
Tarxien Rainbows shade it at 50%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Swieqi shade it at 58%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 2-1.
Singida Black Stars shade it at 49%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 64%, likeliest score 0-1.
Raja Casablanca shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 42%, likeliest score 0-1.
Too close to call: Kabuscorp 33%, Maniema Union 38%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 1-1.
ASKO de Kara shade it at 44%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 60%, likeliest score 0-1.
Zob Ahan shade it at 38%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 75%, likeliest score 0-0.
Kheybar Khorramabad shade it at 51%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 1-0.
Tractor Sazi shade it at 57%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 69%, likeliest score 0-1.
Sepahan are clear favourites at 65%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 0-1.
The draw is the single likeliest result at 37%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 76%, likeliest score 0-0.
Mechal FC shade it at 45%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 73%, likeliest score 0-0.
Too close to call: Sarpsborg 08 38%, Rosenborg 38%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Sandefjord shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Vålerenga 35%, Brann 41%. Both teams to score at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Molde shade it at 59%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 2-1.
Tromsø shade it at 58%. Over 2.5 at 53%, likeliest score 1-0.
Strømsgodset shade it at 54%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 78%, likeliest score 2-1.
Egersund shade it at 52%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 68%, likeliest score 2-1.
Moss shade it at 47%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 68%, likeliest score 1-1.
Kongsvinger shade it at 55%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 78%, likeliest score 2-1.
Odd shade it at 55%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 71%, likeliest score 2-1.
Hødd shade it at 46%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 2-1.
Home win looks overpriced ~9%
Our model shows a -8.75% value edge on the home win. Hødd have won 54% of their 13 home games and score 1.85 goals per home match, while Raufoss win only 17% of their away fixtures and average just 1.00 goal away. Even though Hødd’s recent five‑game run yields only one win, the season‑long home strength still outpaces Raufoss’s poor away form, making the odds too generous for a home victory.
Stabæk shade it at 57%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 1-2.
Too close to call: Ranheim 42%, Bryne 36%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 70%, likeliest score 1-1.
ŁKS Łódź shade it at 45%. Both teams to score at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Pogoń Siedlce 34%, Stal Rzeszów 39%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
Lechia Gdańsk shade it at 44%. Both teams to score at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
NKP Podhale shade it at 52%. Both teams to score at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Goal feast expected – Over 2.5 goals
Our model indicates a -6.15% value edge for the Over 2.5 Goals market (model rating 59.21% versus implied 65.36%). Both clubs regularly exceed 2.5 goals – Podhale’s home matches go over 2.5 goals in 83% of games, while Falubaz’s away fixtures do so in 75% of games. Their season‑long scoring averages (2.5 goals per home game for Podhale and 2.0 goals per away game for Falubaz) reinforce the likelihood of a high‑scoring encounter.
Avia Swidnik shade it at 49%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Resovia Rzeszów shade it at 42%. Both teams to score at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Home win overpriced – consider the away side
Our model shows the home win implied probability at 51% versus a model rating of 42%, creating a -9.13% value gap. Resovia Rzeszów have not won any of their last five matches (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses) and have scored only three goals in that span. Sokół Kleczew average about 1.00 goal per away game and hold a higher points‑per‑game figure (0.73). The combination suggests the away side offers better value than the market‑inflated home win odds.
Znicz Pruszków shade it at 50%. Both teams to score at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Sandecja Nowy Sącz 39%, Zawisza Bydgoszcz 36%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Salzburg are clear favourites at 63%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Wolfsberger AC 36%, WSG Tirol 39%. Both teams to score at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Sturm Graz shade it at 47%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Velka Bites 39%, Kuřim 39%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 1-1.
Fehérvár W shade it at 49%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 79%, likeliest score 1-2.
Budapest Honvéd W shade it at 53%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 64%, likeliest score 1-1.
Stupčanica Olovo shade it at 57%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
Posusje shade it at 59%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-0.
Cavese shade it at 53%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-0.
Cosenza shade it at 54%. Over 2.5 at 43%, likeliest score 1-0.
Audace Cerignola shade it at 55%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-0.
Bari 1908 shade it at 42%. Over 2.5 at 42%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Sorrento 35%, Casertana 36%. Over 2.5 at 41%, likeliest score 1-1.
Barletta shade it at 52%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-0.
Omarska shade it at 54%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 60%, likeliest score 1-0.
Triestina shade it at 55%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-1.
Legnago Salus shade it at 48%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Mestre 35%, Cjarlins Muzane 36%. Over 2.5 at 43%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Trastevere 41%, Sarrabus Ogliastra 34%. Both teams to score at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
Latte Dolce shade it at 48%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-1.
Sarnese shade it at 56%. Over 2.5 at 48%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Budoni 36%, Albalonga 39%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
USD Palmese shade it at 46%. Over 2.5 at 48%, likeliest score 1-1.
Manfredonia shade it at 48%. Over 2.5 at 48%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Fidelis Andria 37%, Virtus Francavilla 33%. Over 2.5 at 42%, likeliest score 1-1.
Gravina shade it at 45%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 1-1.
Martina Franca shade it at 43%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Digenis Morphou 36%, Halkanoras 38%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-1.
Riga are clear favourites at 82%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 69%, likeliest score 2-0.
Too close to call: Liepāja 42%, FS Jelgava 34%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Saturn Ramenskoye shade it at 51%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-0.
Koper shade it at 50%. Over 2.5 at 56%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Maribor 39%, Celje 35%. Both teams to score at 59%, likeliest score 1-1.
Ararat-Armenia are clear favourites at 67%. Over 2.5 at 56%, likeliest score 0-1.
Too close to call: Noah 38%, Pyunik 33%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-1.
Imst are clear favourites at 61%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 72%, likeliest score 1-2.
Schwaz shade it at 45%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 69%, likeliest score 1-2.
Hajduk Split shade it at 49%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Dinamo Zagreb shade it at 58%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 1-2.
ASC Dortmund shade it at 48%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 69%, likeliest score 1-2.
Too close to call: Victoria Clarholz 36%, Arminia Bielefeld II 42%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 1-1.
Preußen Münster II are clear favourites at 69%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 73%, likeliest score 2-1.
Westfalia Kinderhaus are clear favourites at 76%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 3-0.
Horsthausen shade it at 49%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 73%, likeliest score 1-2.
Uerdingen shade it at 57%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 70%, likeliest score 1-2.
Schonnebeck are clear favourites at 70%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 80%, likeliest score 3-1.
Monheim shade it at 47%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 69%, likeliest score 1-1.
SSVg Velbert shade it at 52%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 77%, likeliest score 1-2.
SC St. Tönis are clear favourites at 68%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 76%, likeliest score 2-1.
Olympique Marseille shade it at 49%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 1-1.
Le Havre shade it at 49%. Over 2.5 at 48%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Paris 39%, Rennes 37%. Over 2.5 at 57%, likeliest score 1-1.
Monaco shade it at 41%. Both teams to score at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
Olympique Lyonnais shade it at 57%. Over 2.5 at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
Juve Stabia shade it at 48%. Over 2.5 at 42%, likeliest score 1-0.
Cesena shade it at 49%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-0.
Sampdoria shade it at 45%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Leeds United 33%, Manchester United 39%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 1-1.
AFC Bournemouth shade it at 47%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-1.
Brighton & Hove Albion shade it at 59%. Over 2.5 at 57%, likeliest score 1-1.
Arsenal shade it at 55%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 0-1.
Kalamata shade it at 48%. Over 2.5 at 55%, likeliest score 1-1.
Olympiacos F.C. are clear favourites at 63%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 0-1.
Panathinaikos are clear favourites at 61%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Kifisia 37%, Aris 35%. Over 2.5 at 42%, likeliest score 1-1.
PAOK are clear favourites at 71%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-0.
Schaerbeek-Evere shade it at 45%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 69%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Rus Binche 41%, Huy 35%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: SG-Tertre-Hautrage 36%, Stockay-Warfusée 42%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 66%, likeliest score 1-1.
Standard Liège II shade it at 53%. Over 2.5 at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II shade it at 59%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 73%, likeliest score 2-1.
Knokke shade it at 47%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 1-1.
Oostkamp shade it at 46%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 1-1.
Sparta Petegem shade it at 43%. Both teams to score at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
Diksmuide shade it at 53%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 68%, likeliest score 1-2.
Too close to call: Rupel Boom 35%, Wilrijk 41%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Gasogi United 38%, Bugesera 34%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Teramo are clear favourites at 61%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-0.
San Nicolò shade it at 48%. Over 2.5 at 41%, likeliest score 1-0.
L'Aquila shade it at 47%. Over 2.5 at 53%, likeliest score 1-1.
Vigor Senigallia shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
Foligno shade it at 42%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 1-0.
Atletico Ascoli shade it at 58%. Over 2.5 at 58%, likeliest score 1-0.
Sestri Levante shade it at 48%. Over 2.5 at 44%, likeliest score 1-1.
Chisola shade it at 47%. Over 2.5 at 43%, likeliest score 1-1.
Alessandria shade it at 46%. Over 2.5 at 55%, likeliest score 1-1.
Derthona shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-1.
Pro Imperia shade it at 55%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 0-1.
Ligorna are clear favourites at 61%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-0.
AS Biellese 1902 shade it at 55%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-1.
Piacenza shade it at 55%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-0.
Virtus Verona shade it at 49%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-1.
Rovato Vertova shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-1.
ChievoVerona shade it at 50%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-1.
Pro Palazzolo shade it at 40%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Club Milano 38%, Real Calepina 33%. Over 2.5 at 44%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Crema 33%, Pontedera 39%. Over 2.5 at 43%, likeliest score 1-1.
Pro Sesto shade it at 54%. Over 2.5 at 48%, likeliest score 0-1.
Sant'Angelo shade it at 45%. Over 2.5 at 41%, likeliest score 1-0.
Cittadella Vis Modena shade it at 40%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Pistoiese are clear favourites at 72%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 2-0.
Too close to call: Correggese 34%, Castellanzese 39%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 1-1.
Città di Varese shade it at 50%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-1.
Pro Patria shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-1.
San Donato Tavarnelle shade it at 41%. Over 2.5 at 44%, likeliest score 1-1.
Scandicci shade it at 47%. Over 2.5 at 44%, likeliest score 1-1.
Prato shade it at 50%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 0-1.
Flaminia shade it at 49%. Both teams to score at 59%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Ternana 37%, ACN Siena 1904 37%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Sasso Marconi 36%, Lucchese 38%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
Igea Virtus shade it at 60%. Over 2.5 at 56%, likeliest score 1-0.
Trapani 1905 shade it at 54%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-0.
Modica shade it at 50%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-0.
Reggina shade it at 46%. Over 2.5 at 44%, likeliest score 1-1.
Siracusa shade it at 50%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 1-1.
Petro de Luanda shade it at 51%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 0-1.
Colombe shade it at 47%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 70%, likeliest score 0-1.
Maghreb Fès shade it at 43%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 64%, likeliest score 1-0.
PAOK W are clear favourites at 62%. Over 2.5 at 58%, likeliest score 0-2.
Too close to call: Dibba Al Fujairah 35%, Al Arabi 40%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Albion 38%, Montevideo City Torque 37%. Over 2.5 at 53%, likeliest score 1-1.
Danubio shade it at 48%. Over 2.5 at 41%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Liverpool 33%, Peñarol 37%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 1-1.
Sol de América shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-1.
Al Wahda are clear favourites at 63%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 0-2.
Al Jazira are clear favourites at 68%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 0-2.
Al Sharjah shade it at 45%. Both teams to score at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Debrecen 40%, Zalaegerszegi TE 33%. Both teams to score at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
Ferencvárosi are clear favourites at 63%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 1-2.
FK Košice shade it at 51%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 1-1.
Košice primed for upset win
Our model flags an -8.23% value edge for an away win at odds of 2.03. Košice have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 10 goals (2.0 per game) while conceding just six. Their season average of 2.44 goals per match and a perfect 100% rate of over‑2.5 goals in away games underline strong attacking form. Zemplín have only three home wins and average just 1.17 goals at home, reinforcing the upside.
Podbrezová shade it at 42%. Both teams to score at 62%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Žilina 36%, Dunajská Streda 39%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Away side holds strong value edge
Our model flags a -12.10% value edge for an away win (model rating 35.52% vs implied 47.62%). Dunajská Streda have won 80% of their away fixtures, remain unbeaten away with zero losses, average 3.40 goals per away game while conceding just 0.60. Their recent five matches include three wins and a BTTS rate of 60%, underscoring the upside of backing the visitors.
Beltinci shade it at 47%. Over 2.5 at 55%, likeliest score 1-1.
Brežice shade it at 44%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Neudorf / Parndorf 35%, Eberau 41%. Both teams to score at 59%, likeliest score 1-1.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen shade it at 56%. Over 2.5 at 55%, likeliest score 1-0.
TSG Hoffenheim shade it at 42%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
B36 shade it at 52%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Víkingur are clear favourites at 66%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 69%, likeliest score 2-1.
Žalgiris are clear favourites at 63%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 2-1.
Launsdorf are clear favourites at 60%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 73%, likeliest score 2-1.
Celtic shade it at 55%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 2-1.
Differdange 03 are clear favourites at 73%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 0-2.
Atert Bissen shade it at 59%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 70%, likeliest score 2-1.
UNA Strassen shade it at 56%. Over 2.5 at 53%, likeliest score 1-0.
Mondorf-les-Bains shade it at 53%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 71%, likeliest score 2-1.
Too close to call: Résidence Walferdange 35%, Rumelange 43%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 1-1.
Jeunesse d'Esch shade it at 47%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 1-1.
FH W are clear favourites at 69%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 79%, likeliest score 2-1.
Breidablik W shade it at 58%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 1-2.
NorthEast United shade it at 52%. Over 2.5 at 57%, likeliest score 1-1.
RC Kouba are clear favourites at 66%. Over 2.5 at 42%, likeliest score 1-0.
Tira shade it at 53%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 0-1.
Omonia Aradippou shade it at 47%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-1.
Aris Limassol shade it at 43%. Both teams to score at 59%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Omonia 29is Maiou 36%, Anorthosis 37%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-1.
Al Zawra'a shade it at 47%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 0-1.
Erbil are clear favourites at 63%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 1-0.
Al Shorta are clear favourites at 63%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 1-0.
MS Dimona shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 39%, Ironi Beit Shemesh 35%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Maccabi Ashdod 34%, Shimshon Tel Aviv 39%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 1-1.
Gimnástica Torrelavega shade it at 40%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-1.
Sestao River shade it at 50%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 0-1.
Bergantiños shade it at 51%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 1-0.
Arosa shade it at 42%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-1.
UTA Arad shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 43%, likeliest score 1-1.
Universitatea Craiova are clear favourites at 69%. Over 2.5 at 58%, likeliest score 2-0.
Goal feast expected – Over 2.5 likely
Our model gives a slight +0.43% edge for Over 2.5 goals. The last five meetings produced an average of 3.8 goals and three of those games went over 2.5. Universitatea Craiova’s home matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 83% of games this season, while Farul’s away outings exceed 2.5 in 50% of matches. All signs point to a high‑scoring encounter.
Too close to call: Unión San Felipe 33%, Deportes Temuco 40%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Curicó Unido 40%, Deportes Iquique 34%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-1.
San Marcos shade it at 59%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-0.
Antofagasta shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 53%, likeliest score 1-1.
Calcio Desenzano shade it at 49%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 0-1.
Ospitaletto shade it at 53%. Over 2.5 at 43%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: AlbinoLeffe 37%, Novara 32%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Velez 35%, Borac Banja Luka 37%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 1-1.
Zrinjski shade it at 42%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-1.
The draw is the single likeliest result at 34%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 75%, likeliest score 0-0.
EBK W shade it at 46%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 69%, likeliest score 1-1.
JKT Tanzania shade it at 45%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 1-0.
Muharraq are clear favourites at 70%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 2-0.
Al Khalidiyah are clear favourites at 75%. Over 2.5 at 56%, likeliest score 0-2.
Delfin shade it at 58%. Over 2.5 at 40%, likeliest score 1-0.
Leones del Norte shade it at 43%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Barcelona Guayaquil 35%, Universidad Católica 37%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 1-1.
Hapoel Be'er Sheva shade it at 50%. Over 2.5 at 55%, likeliest score 1-1.
Deportivo Morón shade it at 57%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 1-0.
Los Andes shade it at 50%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 69%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Nueva Chicago 38%, Gimnasia Jujuy 32%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 1-1.
Club Ferro Carril Oeste shade it at 56%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Güemes 35%, Almagro 34%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 1-1.
Chaco For Ever shade it at 51%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 1-0.
Godoy Cruz shade it at 56%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 64%, likeliest score 1-0.
San Martín San Juan shade it at 51%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 1-0.
San Martín de Tucumán shade it at 45%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 66%, likeliest score 1-0.
Al Khaleej shade it at 43%. Both teams to score at 59%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Widad Témara 38%, Kawkab Marrakech 31%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 0-0.
Wydad Casablanca shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 42%, likeliest score 1-1.
Dandy Town Hornets shade it at 54%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 1-2.
PHC Zebras shade it at 56%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 72%, likeliest score 1-2.
Avaí shade it at 46%. Over 2.5 at 44%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: São Bernardo 33%, Criciúma 37%. Over 2.5 at 43%, likeliest score 1-1.
CRB shade it at 58%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-0.
Vila Nova shade it at 39%. Over 2.5 at 43%, likeliest score 1-1.
Fram shade it at 57%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 78%, likeliest score 2-1.
Over 2.5 goals undervalued
Our model flags a -5.99% value edge for Over 2.5 goals (model rating 76.65% vs implied 82.64%). Both sides regularly exceed 2.5 goals – Fram does so in 92% of home games and ÍA in 85% of away games. The last five head‑to‑head meetings averaged 2.2 goals, indicating a natural tendency for multiple goals.
Academia Puerto Cabello shade it at 57%. Over 2.5 at 53%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: UCV 39%, Portuguesa 33%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-1.
Caracas shade it at 45%. Both teams to score at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Estudiantes Mérida 36%, Metropolitanos 35%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-1.
Seattle Reign W are clear favourites at 63%. Over 2.5 at 57%, likeliest score 0-1.
Juárez W shade it at 50%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Tigres UANL W are clear favourites at 89%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 80%, likeliest score 3-0.
América W are clear favourites at 66%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 73%, likeliest score 2-1.
Oriental shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 41%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Llaneros 33%, Santa Fe 37%. Over 2.5 at 40%, likeliest score 1-1.
Deportivo Cali shade it at 56%. Over 2.5 at 48%, likeliest score 1-0.
River Plate shade it at 45%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 64%, likeliest score 0-1.
Home win overpriced despite strong form
Our model assigns a 25.45% chance to a Belgrano win while the market implies 36.76%, creating a -11.31% value gap. Belgrano have won 53% of their home games and are unbeaten in their last five, scoring 1.40 goals per match at home. The odds therefore overstate their likelihood of victory.
Newell's Old Boys shade it at 48%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 68%, likeliest score 1-0.
Sarmiento shade it at 38%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 68%, likeliest score 1-0.
Cienciano are clear favourites at 65%. Over 2.5 at 59%, likeliest score 2-1.
FAS are clear favourites at 63%. Over 2.5 at 57%, likeliest score 1-0.
Guabirá are clear favourites at 65%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 69%, likeliest score 2-1.
Home side's dominant edge
Our model assigns a +10.22% value edge to a home win (model rating 62.85% vs implied 52.63%). Guabirá have won 60% of their home matches this season and have taken half‑time leads in 50% of those games. In the last five head‑to‑head meetings Guabirá have won four, with the most recent a 2‑1 victory. The combination of strong home form, half‑time dominance and head‑to‑head superiority supports the value.
Monterrey shade it at 51%. Over 2.5 at 53%, likeliest score 1-1.
Wofoo Tai Po shade it at 50%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 1-1.
Lee Man FC shade it at 49%. Both teams to score at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 40%, Livyi Bereh 33%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-1.
Ararat II shade it at 54%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 71%, likeliest score 1-2.
Andranik shade it at 56%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Niki Volos 36%, Panionios 32%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 64%, likeliest score 1-1.
PAOK II shade it at 46%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-0.
Persepolis shade it at 42%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 74%, likeliest score 0-0.
Fajr Sepasi shade it at 42%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 73%, likeliest score 0-0.
Esteghlal shade it at 43%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 70%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Belshina 33%, Slavia 40%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 1-1.
Torpedo BelAZ shade it at 60%. Over 2.5 at 55%, likeliest score 1-0.
Dinamo Minsk are clear favourites at 84%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 2-0.
Petrovac shade it at 40%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-1.
Sutjeska shade it at 53%. Over 2.5 at 42%, likeliest score 1-0.
Muğlaspor shade it at 42%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-1.
Keçiörengücü shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-1.
Keçiörengücü primed for upset
Our model shows a +7.02% value edge on an away victory. Keçiörengücü have been solid away, winning 40% of their trips and averaging 1.80 goals per away game (9 goals in 5 away matches). They are unbeaten in their last five fixtures (5‑game unbeaten streak) and have collected 9 points from the last five. Fatih Karagümrük, by contrast, have only one win in their last five and a 60% draw rate at home, indicating limited firepower. This disparity supports the value in backing the visitors.
Too close to call: Esenler Erokspor 39%, Mardin BB 33%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-1.
Bursaspor are clear favourites at 68%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 2-0.
El Gounah shade it at 38%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 72%, likeliest score 0-0.
Arab Contractors FC shade it at 42%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 69%, likeliest score 0-1.
Al Masry shade it at 43%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 64%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Minerva Punjab 37%, Mumbai City 35%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-1.
Dila shade it at 41%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Levadia II shade it at 52%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 78%, likeliest score 1-2.
Viimsi are clear favourites at 71%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 73%, likeliest score 1-2.
Auda shade it at 44%. Both teams to score at 59%, likeliest score 1-1.
Rīgas FS are clear favourites at 89%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 80%, likeliest score 3-0.
Universitatea Cluj shade it at 48%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Voluntari 34%, FCSB 40%. Both teams to score at 59%, likeliest score 1-1.
Tatran Prešov are clear favourites at 64%. Over 2.5 at 55%, likeliest score 1-0.
Pafos FC shade it at 56%. Over 2.5 at 57%, likeliest score 2-1.
Omonia Nicosia shade it at 58%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-0.
Al Ahli shade it at 54%. Over 2.5 at 53%, likeliest score 1-1.
Abha shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Al Hilal are clear favourites at 77%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 68%, likeliest score 2-0.
Al Shabab shade it at 44%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 1-1.
Sūduva shade it at 42%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-1.
Nieciecza shade it at 45%. Both teams to score at 59%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Rodina Moskva 39%, Orenburg 35%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-1.
Monza shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Parma 35%, Torino 34%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Degerfors 35%, Kalmar 39%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-1.
Wisła Płock shade it at 47%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
FC Midtjylland shade it at 50%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Trabzonspor 39%, Beşiktaş 38%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 1-1.
Varberg BoIS shade it at 56%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 2-1.
Diósgyőr shade it at 51%. Over 2.5 at 55%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Beitar Jerusalem 34%, Maccabi Tel Aviv 41%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 1-1.
Roda JC Kerkrade shade it at 42%. Both teams to score at 59%, likeliest score 1-1.
Jong PSV shade it at 45%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 66%, likeliest score 1-1.
De Graafschap shade it at 49%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 70%, likeliest score 1-2.
Cañuelas shade it at 40%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 66%, likeliest score 0-1.
Sacachispas shade it at 38%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 68%, likeliest score 0-0.
Too close to call: San Telmo 38%, Defensores de Belgrano 31%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 0-0.
Too close to call: Celta Fortuna 39%, Tenerife 33%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-1.
Cittadella shade it at 53%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-0.
Trento Calcio 1921 shade it at 51%. Over 2.5 at 41%, likeliest score 0-1.
Union Brescia shade it at 47%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 60%, likeliest score 0-1.
Juventus Next Gen shade it at 42%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-1.
SSC Giugliano shade it at 40%. Over 2.5 at 41%, likeliest score 1-1.
Waterford United shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Derry City 33%, St Patrick's 40%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Redditch United shade it at 47%. Both teams to score at 59%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Rodez 38%, Montpellier 36%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-1.
Getafe shade it at 46%. Over 2.5 at 42%, likeliest score 1-1.
Tottenham Hotspur shade it at 47%. Over 2.5 at 55%, likeliest score 1-1.
Sporting Braga shade it at 50%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 1-0.
12 de Junio VH shade it at 51%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-1.
General Caballero JLM shade it at 51%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Deportivo Santaní shade it at 51%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-1.
Mushuc Runa shade it at 54%. Over 2.5 at 44%, likeliest score 1-0.
Unión Española shade it at 44%. Both teams to score at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
Goiás shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-1.
Corinthians shade it at 56%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-0.
Nacional shade it at 47%. Over 2.5 at 42%, likeliest score 1-0.
Sporting San José shade it at 49%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Escorpiones Belén 39%, Puntarenas 35%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
Toluca W are clear favourites at 68%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 77%, likeliest score 2-1.
Deportivo Riestra shade it at 41%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 1-0.
Deportivo Pasto shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 40%, likeliest score 1-0.
Deportivo Pereira are clear favourites at 61%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-0.
Lernayin Artsakh are clear favourites at 76%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 77%, likeliest score 2-1.
Mika Yerevan shade it at 49%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 1-1.
Bhayangkara shade it at 57%. Over 2.5 at 55%, likeliest score 1-1.
Dewa United are clear favourites at 69%. Over 2.5 at 55%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: ZED FC 37%, Modern Sport FC 32%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 66%, likeliest score 1-1.
Zamalek are clear favourites at 60%. Over 2.5 at 41%, likeliest score 0-1.
Too close to call: Wadi Degla 34%, National Bank of Egypt 34%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 66%, likeliest score 1-1.
Pyramids FC shade it at 54%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 64%, likeliest score 0-1.
ASA Târgu Mureş shade it at 56%. Over 2.5 at 57%, likeliest score 1-1.
Borussia Dortmund shade it at 46%. Over 2.5 at 59%, likeliest score 1-1.
Sabah's perfect home record backs a value Home Win
Our model rates a home win at 38.5% while the market implies only 10.4%, giving a +28.1% value edge. Sabah have won every one of their five home matches this season (100% home win rate) and average three points per home game, underscoring the strength of the home side.
Fenerbahçe shade it at 49%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Paris Saint Germain 38%, FC Barcelona 42%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 71%, likeliest score 1-2.
Manchester City shade it at 52%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-0.
Liverpool shade it at 48%. Both teams to score at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: VfB Stuttgart 41%, Atlético de Madrid 38%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 1-1.
Napoli shade it at 44%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 64%, likeliest score 1-1.
Porto shade it at 49%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Roma shade it at 53%. Over 2.5 at 57%, likeliest score 1-1.
Norrköping are clear favourites at 63%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 2-1.
Too close to call: Altona 93 38%, ETSV Hamburg 42%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 75%, likeliest score 1-1.
Partick Thistle shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Larne 40%, Linfield 34%. Over 2.5 at 48%, likeliest score 1-1.
Wolverhampton Wanderers shade it at 50%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Walsall shade it at 42%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-1.
York City are clear favourites at 65%. Over 2.5 at 55%, likeliest score 1-0.
Rochdale shade it at 43%. Both teams to score at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Cheltenham Town 35%, Fleetwood Town 40%. Over 2.5 at 53%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Crawley Town 33%, Shrewsbury Town 39%. Over 2.5 at 44%, likeliest score 1-1.
Barnet are clear favourites at 65%. Over 2.5 at 57%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Rotherham United 37%, Newport County 38%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Exeter City 34%, Crewe Alexandra 37%. Over 2.5 at 42%, likeliest score 1-1.
Northampton Town shade it at 42%. Over 2.5 at 44%, likeliest score 1-1.
Chesterfield shade it at 49%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Bristol Rovers 37%, Salford City 39%. Both teams to score at 62%, likeliest score 1-1.
Gillingham shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 44%, likeliest score 1-1.
Stockport County shade it at 45%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 1-1.
Bradford City shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 53%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: AFC Wimbledon 37%, Mansfield Town 34%. Over 2.5 at 42%, likeliest score 1-1.
Cambridge United shade it at 48%. Over 2.5 at 48%, likeliest score 1-1.
Leicester City shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-1.
Huddersfield Town shade it at 59%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-0.
Plymouth Argyle shade it at 42%. Both teams to score at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
Oxford United shade it at 48%. Over 2.5 at 44%, likeliest score 1-0.
Luton Town shade it at 57%. Over 2.5 at 56%, likeliest score 1-0.
Notts County shade it at 44%. Both teams to score at 59%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Blackpool 36%, Milton Keynes Dons 37%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Paraguarí 35%, Fernando de la Mora 37%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-1.
Independiente FBC shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-1.
Londrina shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 43%, likeliest score 1-1.
Internacional de Bogotá shade it at 42%. Over 2.5 at 42%, likeliest score 1-1.
Atlético Nacional shade it at 54%. Over 2.5 at 53%, likeliest score 1-1.
Santa Lucia are clear favourites at 79%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-0.
Vasco da Gama shade it at 48%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-1.
Montevideo City Torque shade it at 42%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-1.
Guadalajara W are clear favourites at 95%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 87%, likeliest score 3-0.
Yokohama F. Marinos shade it at 42%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-0.
Vegalta Sendai shade it at 51%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-0.
Tokushima Vortis shade it at 49%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Albirex Niigata 35%, Sagan Tosu 37%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-1.
Åsane W shade it at 54%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 69%, likeliest score 1-2.
Too close to call: Gasogi United 35%, Gorilla 35%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 64%, likeliest score 1-1.
Nardo shade it at 53%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 83%, likeliest score 1-2.
Al Ittihad shade it at 38%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 73%, likeliest score 0-0.
Al Ahly are clear favourites at 72%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Ceramica Cleopatra 33%, Petrojet 38%. Over 2.5 at 42%, likeliest score 1-1.
Terrassa shade it at 54%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 1-0.
Como shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: LOSC Lille 40%, Galatasaray 38%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
FC Bayern München shade it at 56%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 1-1.
Inter shade it at 56%. Over 2.5 at 56%, likeliest score 1-0.
Real Madrid are clear favourites at 66%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 66%, likeliest score 2-1.
Real Betis shade it at 47%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Club Brugge shade it at 52%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Sporting CP shade it at 58%. Over 2.5 at 58%, likeliest score 2-1.
Too close to call: Aston Villa 37%, Viking 40%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 1-1.
Sogndal shade it at 49%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 69%, likeliest score 2-1.
Too close to call: Levante 33%, Athletic Club 40%. Over 2.5 at 53%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Reading 39%, Leyton Orient 36%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-1.
Cerro Porteño shade it at 54%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-0.
Libertad shade it at 47%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 1-1.
Olimpia shade it at 57%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Sportivo Luqueño 38%, Sportivo San Lorenzo 36%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 1-1.
Sarasota Paradise shade it at 47%. Both teams to score at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: NY Cosmos 36%, Spokane Velocity 36%. Over 2.5 at 48%, likeliest score 1-1.
Universidad Chile are clear favourites at 66%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 60%, likeliest score 2-1.
Palmeiras shade it at 60%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-0.
Santa Fe are clear favourites at 65%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Kairat 35%, Panathinaikos 40%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Jablonec 34%, Brighton & Hove Albion 41%. Over 2.5 at 55%, likeliest score 1-1.
Pafos FC shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-0.
Nordsjælland shade it at 54%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Inter Club d'Escaldes 36%, Universitatea Craiova 37%. Over 2.5 at 48%, likeliest score 1-1.
Crvena Zvezda shade it at 53%. Over 2.5 at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Trabzonspor shade it at 48%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
FC Midtjylland shade it at 53%. Over 2.5 at 56%, likeliest score 1-1.
Ajax shade it at 55%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 1-1.
AGF shade it at 57%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-0.
Sporting Braga shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Monaco shade it at 46%. Both teams to score at 59%, likeliest score 1-1.
AZ Alkmaar shade it at 46%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 1-1.
Union Saint-Gilloise shade it at 52%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Lech Poznań 42%, Sunderland 36%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 1-1.
Ferencvárosi shade it at 57%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-0.
Juventus shade it at 54%. Over 2.5 at 58%, likeliest score 2-1.
Too close to call: Sturm Graz 39%, Olympique Marseille 38%. Over 2.5 at 57%, likeliest score 1-1.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen shade it at 57%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 1-2.
Dinamo Zagreb shade it at 59%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 2-1.
Salzburg shade it at 56%. Over 2.5 at 57%, likeliest score 0-1.
Viktoria Plzeň shade it at 45%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-1.
Jagiellonia Białystok shade it at 43%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: TSG Hoffenheim 40%, Olympique Lyonnais 36%. Both teams to score at 59%, likeliest score 1-1.
Beşiktaş are clear favourites at 62%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 64%, likeliest score 2-1.
Too close to call: Lillestrøm 35%, Real Sociedad 40%. Both teams to score at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Olympiacos F.C. shade it at 48%. Over 2.5 at 48%, likeliest score 1-1.
Celtic shade it at 55%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-0.
Benfica shade it at 49%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: AFC Bournemouth 35%, AC Milan 38%. Over 2.5 at 43%, likeliest score 1-1.
Flamengo are clear favourites at 66%. Over 2.5 at 43%, likeliest score 1-0.
Atlético Nacional are clear favourites at 62%. Over 2.5 at 55%, likeliest score 1-0.
Brisbane Roar shade it at 45%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-1.
Dynamo Kyiv are clear favourites at 76%. Over 2.5 at 58%, likeliest score 2-0.
Kolos Kovalivka shade it at 56%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 0-1.
CSKA Sofia II shade it at 57%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 1-0.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas are clear favourites at 66%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-0.
Vihren are clear favourites at 61%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-0.
Beroe shade it at 46%. Over 2.5 at 42%, likeliest score 1-0.
Hebar 1918 shade it at 53%. Over 2.5 at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Spartak Pleven 38%, Etar 39%. Both teams to score at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa are clear favourites at 62%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 1-0.
Botoşani shade it at 57%. Over 2.5 at 55%, likeliest score 1-0.
Corvinul Hunedoara shade it at 48%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-1.
Honka are clear favourites at 69%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 71%, likeliest score 2-1.
CSKA 1948 Sofia shade it at 41%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Motor Lublin 41%, Zagłębie Lubin 33%. Both teams to score at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Widzew Lodz 38%, Górnik Zabrze 34%. Over 2.5 at 53%, likeliest score 1-1.
Akhmat Grozny shade it at 51%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: VfL Bochum 1848 41%, VfL Wolfsburg 36%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 1-1.
Darmstadt 98 shade it at 47%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Oddevold are clear favourites at 71%. Over 2.5 at 58%, likeliest score 1-0.
Västerås SK shade it at 51%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Elfsborg 40%, Malmö FF 35%. Both teams to score at 61%, likeliest score 1-1.
Hvidovre shade it at 43%. Both teams to score at 59%, likeliest score 1-1.
Brøndby IF shade it at 46%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
Alanyaspor shade it at 49%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-0.
Rheindorf Altach shade it at 46%. Both teams to score at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy are clear favourites at 64%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 2-1.
Too close to call: Wil 42%, Rapperswil-Jona 35%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 1-1.
Winterthur shade it at 53%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 66%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Chaves 36%, Vizela 36%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-1.
Jong AZ shade it at 53%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 64%, likeliest score 2-1.
Go Ahead Eagles shade it at 59%. Over 2.5 at 58%, likeliest score 1-0.
Nancy shade it at 47%. Over 2.5 at 53%, likeliest score 1-1.
Pau shade it at 56%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Clermont 32%, Guingamp 39%. Over 2.5 at 40%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Royal Francs Borains 37%, Dender 38%. Both teams to score at 59%, likeliest score 1-1.
Blau-Weiß Linz shade it at 52%. Over 2.5 at 55%, likeliest score 1-1.
Granada shade it at 42%. Over 2.5 at 42%, likeliest score 1-1.
Empoli shade it at 40%. Over 2.5 at 47%, likeliest score 1-1.
VfB Stuttgart shade it at 57%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 2-1.
Bohemians shade it at 58%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 2-1.
Derry City shade it at 55%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 2-1.
Waterford United shade it at 49%. Both teams to score at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
St Patrick's shade it at 57%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 0-1.
Shamrock Rovers are clear favourites at 79%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 70%, likeliest score 3-0.
Tamworth shade it at 44%. Both teams to score at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
Brest shade it at 46%. Over 2.5 at 49%, likeliest score 1-1.
Torino shade it at 42%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
Middlesbrough shade it at 42%. Both teams to score at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Deportivo Alavés shade it at 41%. Over 2.5 at 53%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Ipswich Town 34%, Nottingham Forest 40%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Vitória Guimarães shade it at 54%. Over 2.5 at 44%, likeliest score 1-0.
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza shade it at 45%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 1-0.
Gimnasia La Plata shade it at 54%. Over 2.5 at 48%, likeliest score 1-0.
Cruzeiro are clear favourites at 68%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-0.
Audax Italiano shade it at 42%. Both teams to score at 58%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: La Serena 38%, Concepcion 39%. Over 2.5 at 56%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Tigre 40%, Atlético Tucumán 32%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Banfield 37%, Lanús 34%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Talleres Córdoba shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Newcastle Jets 42%, Macarthur 36%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 67%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Western Sydney Wanderers 41%, Auckland 35%. Both teams to score at 59%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Melbourne Victory 42%, Melbourne City 34%. Over 2.5 at 56%, likeliest score 1-1.
Dinamo Moskva shade it at 58%. Over 2.5 at 51%, likeliest score 0-1.
Fakel shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Sporting CP II 36%, Portimonense SAD 36%. Over 2.5 at 43%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Académica 35%, Leixões 35%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-1.
Dunav 2010 shade it at 52%. Over 2.5 at 42%, likeliest score 1-0.
Harrogate Town shade it at 57%. Over 2.5 at 57%, likeliest score 2-1.
Too close to call: Eastleigh 38%, Boston United 37%. Over 2.5 at 53%, likeliest score 1-1.
Sheffield United shade it at 46%. Both teams to score at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Portsmouth 38%, Millwall 35%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-1.
Manchester City shade it at 59%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 61%, likeliest score 1-2.
Rayo Vallecano shade it at 52%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-0.
Voluntari shade it at 41%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Argeş 39%, UTA Arad 32%. Over 2.5 at 42%, likeliest score 1-1.
FCSB shade it at 48%. Over 2.5 at 54%, likeliest score 1-1.
Chatham Town shade it at 52%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Leighton Town 37%, Racing Club Warwick 39%. Both teams to score at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Real Bedford are clear favourites at 62%. Goals expected, Over 2.5 at 66%, likeliest score 1-2.
Try another day or league, or clear the search.
13,421 matches graded · refreshed every few hours
Every home, draw and away probability, grouped and checked against what actually happened. The closer the dots sit to the line, the more honest the numbers.
| Model said | Happened | Outcomes |
|---|---|---|
| 6.9% | 5.5% | 803 |
| 16.5% | 16.2% | 5,544 |
| 24.8% | 24.6% | 14,917 |
| 34.7% | 34.9% | 7,428 |
| 44.7% | 45.7% | 5,548 |
| 54.4% | 54.2% | 3,274 |
| 64.4% | 63.4% | 1,670 |
| 74.1% | 76.5% | 745 |
| 84.2% | 85.6% | 270 |
| 92.6% | 89.1% | 64 |
Valencia
Athletic Club
Model pickAthletic Club 45%
0-0
Missed
Sparta Rotterdam
Willem II
Model pickSparta Rotterdam 52%
3-2
Correct
Roma
Genoa
Model pickRoma 65%
2-0
Correct
LOSC Lille
Brest
Model pickLOSC Lille 54%
1-1
Missed
Troyes
Lens
Model pickLens 43%
1-3
Correct
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Model pickDundalk 47%
1-1
Missed
Philadelphia Union
Charlotte
Model pickPhiladelphia Union 61%
2-2
Missed
Al Diraiyah FC
Al Taawoun
Model pickAl Diraiyah FC 45%
1-1
Missed
The model blends team form, expected goals (xG), goal timing and head-to-heads with live bookmaker odds to price every outcome of every match.
Each match is simulated 100,000 times for scorelines, goal lines and both teams to score. Open the match simulator to watch one play out.
Every finished match is scored against the result and fed into the record above, so you can judge the numbers before you use them.
AI football predictions are match forecasts made by a statistical model rather than a pundit. For every match ours gives the chance of a home win, draw and away win, both teams to score, over and under 2.5 goals and the likeliest exact scores, then compares those numbers with the bookmakers.
Over the last 30 days we graded 13,421 finished matches against the final score. The model's pick for the match result was right 51.7% of the time (picking at random would be about 33%), and 69.7% of the time when it was at least 60% sure. Both teams to score calls were right 56.9% of the time and over/under 2.5 goals 60.5%. Just as important, the probabilities are honest: when the model says around 64%, it happens 63% of the time.
Chatbots like ChatGPT can write a convincing preview, but they are language models: they have no live odds, no injury feed and no calibrated sense of probability, and they tend to back the favourite. Our numbers come from a statistical model built on form, expected goals (xG), goal timing, head-to-heads and live bookmaker prices. AI language models only write the match previews, from those numbers.
The one that publishes its record. Look for two things: every pick graded against the result, not a highlight reel, and probabilities that are calibrated, so a 70% call wins about seven times in ten. We show both on this page, updated every few hours.
Yes. Win, draw and away chances, both teams to score, over and under 2.5 goals, the likeliest score, a written verdict and a 100,000-run simulation are free for every match. Pro adds every goal line and team total, ranking by model edge, probability filters and the full AI match report.
The model combines team form, expected goals (xG), goal-timing data, head-to-head records and live bookmaker odds to price every outcome. Each match is then simulated 100,000 times to produce scorelines and goal lines. It re-runs every few hours and again as kick-off approaches, so the numbers follow team news and price moves.
The gap between the model's probability and the bookmaker's. If the model gives a team a 55% chance and the odds imply 48%, that is a +7% edge: the bookmaker is pricing the outcome lower than the model expects. Positive edges are what value bettors look for.
Every upcoming match with bookmaker odds in the next seven days, from the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga, Ligue 1 and the Champions League to the EFL, MLS, Brazil, Japan and Scandinavia.
Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Please gamble responsibly, 18+.
Zimbru W
Nagykanizsa W
Tartu Welco
Shams Azar Qazvin
Sepahan