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  1. Simulations
  2. EFL League Two
  3. Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town
EFL League Two · 100,000 simulations

Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town prediction

We simulated Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town 100,000 times. Accrington Stanley won 40,350 of them (40.4%), the draw came up 26.5% of the time and Cheltenham Town won 33.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.5%, while the likeliest Accrington Stanley win is 1-0 (9%). Both teams score in 55.3% of simulations.

Accrington Stanley badge
Accrington Stanley Wham Stadium
2–0 Full time
Cheltenham Town badge
Cheltenham Town Away
40.4% 40,350 wins
26.5% Draw
33.1% 33,110 wins
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.28
Likeliest score
1-1 12.5% Top Accrington win: 1-0 9%
Both score
55.3%
Over 2.5
51.2%

Full time 2-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Accrington Stanley winning 40.4% and gave this exact score 6.8%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Jamie O'Connor Wham Stadium, Accrington

Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town in numbers 100,000 simulations · EFL League Two · Saturday 3 October, 15:00

Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town simulation probabilities
Accrington Stanley win40.4%
Draw26.5%
Cheltenham Town win33.1%
Most likely score1-1 (12.5%)
Expected goals1.44 – 1.28
Both teams to score55.3%
Over 1.5 goals75.9%
Over 2.5 goals51.2%
Over 3.5 goals29.3%
Accrington Stanley score first48.3%
Cheltenham Town score first44.3%
Accrington Stanley clean sheet28%
Cheltenham Town clean sheet24%

More EFL League Two simulations

Exeter City Cheltenham Town 1.7–0.9 xG 49% Over 2.5 Salford City Northampton Town 1.9–0.8 xG 48% Over 2.5 Colchester United Gillingham 1.6–1.1 xG 51% Over 2.5 Swindon Town Grimsby Town 1.4–1.6 xG 58% Over 2.5 Port Vale Accrington Stanley 1.6–1.0 xG 45% Over 2.5 Rochdale York City 1.3–1.8 xG 59% Over 2.5 Crewe Alexandra Newport County 1.6–1.1 xG 49% Over 2.5 Shrewsbury Town Oldham Athletic 1.5–1.2 xG 49% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

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Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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  ?v=2
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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town prediction FAQs

Who will win Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town?

Accrington Stanley are favourites. They win 40.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.5% for the draw and 33.1% for Cheltenham Town. Including the draw, Accrington Stanley avoid defeat 66.9% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town?

1-1, which came up in 12.5% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win is 1-0 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town?

Both teams score in 55.3% of simulations. Accrington Stanley keep a clean sheet 28% of the time and Cheltenham Town 24%.

How many goals will there be in Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town?

The simulations average 2.73 goals: 1.44 for Accrington Stanley and 1.28 for Cheltenham Town. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 51.2% and over 3.5 goals 29.3%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.