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  1. Simulations
  2. EFL League Two
  3. Accrington Stanley vs Fleetwood Town
EFL League Two · 100,000 simulations

Accrington Stanley vs Fleetwood Town prediction

We simulated Accrington Stanley vs Fleetwood Town 100,000 times. Accrington Stanley won 37,037 of them (37%), the draw came up 30.4% of the time and Fleetwood Town won 32.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14%, while the likeliest Accrington Stanley win is 1-0 (11.2%). Both teams score in 46.8% of simulations.

Accrington Stanley badge
Accrington Stanley Wham Stadium
1–4 Full time
Fleetwood Town badge
Fleetwood Town Away
37% 37,037 wins
30.4% Draw
32.6% 32,614 wins
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.10
Likeliest score
1-1 14% Top Accrington win: 1-0 11.2%
Both score
46.8%
Over 2.5
39.9%

Full time 1-4. Before kick-off the simulations had Fleetwood Town winning 32.6%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Darren Drysdale Wham Stadium, Accrington

Accrington Stanley vs Fleetwood Town in numbers 100,000 simulations · EFL League Two · Tuesday 1 April, 19:45

Accrington Stanley vs Fleetwood Town simulation probabilities
Accrington Stanley win37%
Draw30.4%
Fleetwood Town win32.6%
Most likely score1-1 (14%)
Expected goals1.19 – 1.10
Both teams to score46.8%
Over 1.5 goals67.2%
Over 2.5 goals39.9%
Over 3.5 goals19.8%
Accrington Stanley score first46.4%
Fleetwood Town score first42.1%
Accrington Stanley clean sheet33.7%
Fleetwood Town clean sheet30.9%

More EFL League Two simulations

Exeter City Cheltenham Town 1.7–0.9 xG 49% Over 2.5 Salford City Northampton Town 1.9–0.8 xG 48% Over 2.5 Colchester United Gillingham 1.6–1.1 xG 51% Over 2.5 Swindon Town Grimsby Town 1.4–1.6 xG 58% Over 2.5 Port Vale Accrington Stanley 1.6–1.0 xG 45% Over 2.5 Rochdale York City 1.3–1.8 xG 59% Over 2.5 Crewe Alexandra Newport County 1.6–1.1 xG 49% Over 2.5 Shrewsbury Town Oldham Athletic 1.5–1.2 xG 49% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Accrington Stanley vs Fleetwood Town prediction FAQs

Who will win Accrington Stanley vs Fleetwood Town?

Accrington Stanley are favourites. They win 37% of our 100,000 simulations, against 30.4% for the draw and 32.6% for Fleetwood Town. Including the draw, Accrington Stanley avoid defeat 67.4% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Accrington Stanley vs Fleetwood Town?

1-1, which came up in 14% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (11.4%) and 1-0 (11.2%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win is 1-0 (11.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Accrington Stanley vs Fleetwood Town?

Both teams score in 46.8% of simulations. Accrington Stanley keep a clean sheet 33.7% of the time and Fleetwood Town 30.9%.

How many goals will there be in Accrington Stanley vs Fleetwood Town?

The simulations average 2.28 goals: 1.19 for Accrington Stanley and 1.10 for Fleetwood Town. Over 1.5 goals lands 67.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 39.9% and over 3.5 goals 19.8%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.