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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest 100,000 times. AFC Bournemouth won 52,093 of them (52.1%), the draw came up 25.5% of the time and Nottingham Forest won 22.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12%, while the likeliest AFC Bournemouth win is 1-0 (9.8%). Both teams score in 54.2% of simulations.
| AFC Bournemouth win | 52.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.5% |
| Nottingham Forest win | 22.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12%) |
| Expected goals | 1.73 – 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | 54.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.7% |
| AFC Bournemouth score first | 56.8% |
| Nottingham Forest score first | 36.2% |
| AFC Bournemouth clean sheet | 34.9% |
| Nottingham Forest clean sheet | 18.1% |
Manchester City
Fulham
2.1–1.0
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Tottenham Hotspur
Ipswich Town
2.2–1.1
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Coventry City
Crystal Palace
1.7–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Chelsea
Leeds United
1.8–1.1
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Aston Villa
Sunderland
1.9–1.2
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Newcastle United
Arsenal
1.0–1.8
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Hull City
Brighton & Hove Albion
0.9–1.9
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Liverpool
Manchester United
2.0–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420665945 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
AFC Bournemouth are favourites. They win 52.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.5% for the draw and 22.4% for Nottingham Forest. Including the draw, AFC Bournemouth avoid defeat 77.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest AFC Bournemouth win is 1-0 (9.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.2% of simulations. AFC Bournemouth keep a clean sheet 34.9% of the time and Nottingham Forest 18.1%.
The simulations average 2.79 goals: 1.73 for AFC Bournemouth and 1.06 for Nottingham Forest. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.7% and over 3.5 goals 30.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.