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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Liverpool vs Manchester United 100,000 times. Liverpool won 53,790 of them (53.8%), the draw came up 23% of the time and Manchester United won 23.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.4%, while the likeliest Liverpool win is 2-1 (9.5%). Both teams score in 61.6% of simulations.
| Liverpool win | 53.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23% |
| Manchester United win | 23.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.99 – 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | 61.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.4% |
| Liverpool score first | 60.6% |
| Manchester United score first | 34.3% |
| Liverpool clean sheet | 29.2% |
| Manchester United clean sheet | 14.1% |
Manchester City
Fulham
2.1–1.0
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Tottenham Hotspur
Ipswich Town
2.2–1.1
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Coventry City
Crystal Palace
1.7–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
AFC Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
1.7–1.1
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Chelsea
Leeds United
1.8–1.1
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Aston Villa
Sunderland
1.9–1.2
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Newcastle United
Arsenal
1.0–1.8
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Hull City
Brighton & Hove Albion
0.9–1.9
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420665974 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Liverpool are favourites. They win 53.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23% for the draw and 23.2% for Manchester United. Including the draw, Liverpool avoid defeat 76.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.4% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Liverpool win is 2-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.6% of simulations. Liverpool keep a clean sheet 29.2% of the time and Manchester United 14.1%.
The simulations average 3.23 goals: 1.99 for Liverpool and 1.25 for Manchester United. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.4% and over 3.5 goals 40.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.