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  1. Simulations
  2. Premier League
  3. Manchester City vs Fulham
Premier League · 100,000 simulations

Manchester City vs Fulham prediction

We simulated Manchester City vs Fulham 100,000 times. Manchester City won 64,060 of them (64.1%), the draw came up 20% of the time and Fulham won 15.9%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.3%), and both teams score in 54% of simulations.

Manchester City badge
Manchester City Etihad Stadium
Saturday 21 November
Fulham badge
Fulham Away
64.1% 64,060 wins
20% Draw
15.9% 15,937 wins
Expected goals
2.14 – 0.96
Likeliest score
2-0 10.3%
Both score
54%
Over 2.5
59.5%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Manchester City vs Fulham in numbers 100,000 simulations · Premier League · Saturday 21 November, 12:30

Manchester City vs Fulham simulation probabilities
Manchester City win64.1%
Draw20%
Fulham win15.9%
Most likely score2-0 (10.3%)
Expected goals2.14 – 0.96
Both teams to score54%
Over 1.5 goals81.2%
Over 2.5 goals59.5%
Over 3.5 goals37.5%
Manchester City score first60.4%
Fulham score first34.9%
Manchester City clean sheet38.7%
Fulham clean sheet12.2%

More Premier League simulations

Tottenham Hotspur Ipswich Town 2.2–1.1 xG 64% Over 2.5 Coventry City Crystal Palace 1.7–1.3 xG 58% Over 2.5 AFC Bournemouth Nottingham Forest 1.7–1.1 xG 53% Over 2.5 Chelsea Leeds United 1.8–1.1 xG 54% Over 2.5 Aston Villa Sunderland 1.9–1.2 xG 58% Over 2.5 Newcastle United Arsenal 1.0–1.8 xG 53% Over 2.5 Hull City Brighton & Hove Albion 0.9–1.9 xG 53% Over 2.5 Liverpool Manchester United 2.0–1.3 xG 62% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420665950
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Manchester City vs Fulham prediction FAQs

Who will win Manchester City vs Fulham?

Manchester City are favourites. They win 64.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20% for the draw and 15.9% for Fulham. Including the draw, Manchester City avoid defeat 84.1% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Manchester City vs Fulham?

2-0, which came up in 10.3% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Manchester City vs Fulham?

Both teams score in 54% of simulations. Manchester City keep a clean sheet 38.7% of the time and Fulham 12.2%.

How many goals will there be in Manchester City vs Fulham?

The simulations average 3.10 goals: 2.14 for Manchester City and 0.96 for Fulham. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.5% and over 3.5 goals 37.5%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.