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EFL League Two · 100,000 simulations

Bristol Rovers vs Salford City prediction

We simulated Bristol Rovers vs Salford City 100,000 times. Bristol Rovers won 37,338 of them (37.3%), the draw came up 27.6% of the time and Salford City won 35.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13%, while the likeliest Bristol Rovers win is 2-1 (8.4%). Both teams score in 57.7% of simulations.

Bristol Rovers badge
Bristol Rovers Memorial Stadium
1–2 Full time
Salford City badge
Salford City Away
37.3% 37,338 wins
27.6% Draw
35.1% 35,071 wins
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.38
Likeliest score
1-1 13% Top Bristol Rovers win: 2-1 8.4%
Both score
57.7%
Over 2.5
53.2%

Full time 1-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Salford City winning 35.1% and gave this exact score 8.1%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Dean Whitestone Memorial Stadium, Bristol

Bristol Rovers vs Salford City in numbers 100,000 simulations · EFL League Two · Tuesday 20 October, 19:45

Bristol Rovers vs Salford City simulation probabilities
Bristol Rovers win37.3%
Draw27.6%
Salford City win35.1%
Most likely score1-1 (13%)
Expected goals1.43 – 1.38
Both teams to score57.7%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals53.2%
Over 3.5 goals31.1%
Bristol Rovers score first49.1%
Salford City score first43.6%
Bristol Rovers clean sheet25.5%
Salford City clean sheet24.3%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420646865
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Bristol Rovers vs Salford City prediction FAQs

Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Salford City?

Bristol Rovers are favourites. They win 37.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.6% for the draw and 35.1% for Salford City. Including the draw, Bristol Rovers avoid defeat 64.9% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Bristol Rovers vs Salford City?

1-1, which came up in 13% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.4%) and 1-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win is 2-1 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Bristol Rovers vs Salford City?

Both teams score in 57.7% of simulations. Bristol Rovers keep a clean sheet 25.5% of the time and Salford City 24.3%.

How many goals will there be in Bristol Rovers vs Salford City?

The simulations average 2.81 goals: 1.43 for Bristol Rovers and 1.38 for Salford City. Over 1.5 goals lands 78% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.2% and over 3.5 goals 31.1%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.