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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Chesterfield vs Colchester United 100,000 times. Chesterfield won 64,670 of them (64.7%), the draw came up 19.9% of the time and Colchester United won 15.4%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.4%), and both teams score in 53.9% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 19.9% and gave this exact score 9.3%.
| Chesterfield win | 64.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.9% |
| Colchester United win | 15.4% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (10.4%) |
| Expected goals | 2.16 – 0.95 |
| Both teams to score | 53.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.7% |
| Chesterfield score first | 64.7% |
| Colchester United score first | 30.3% |
| Chesterfield clean sheet | 39% |
| Colchester United clean sheet | 11.9% |
Exeter City
Cheltenham Town
1.7–0.9
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Salford City
Northampton Town
1.9–0.8
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Colchester United
Gillingham
1.6–1.1
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Swindon Town
Grimsby Town
1.4–1.6
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Port Vale
Accrington Stanley
1.6–1.0
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Rochdale
York City
1.3–1.8
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Crewe Alexandra
Newport County
1.6–1.1
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Shrewsbury Town
Oldham Athletic
1.5–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646839 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Chesterfield are favourites. They win 64.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.9% for the draw and 15.4% for Colchester United. Including the draw, Chesterfield avoid defeat 84.6% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 10.4% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.9% of simulations. Chesterfield keep a clean sheet 39% of the time and Colchester United 11.9%.
The simulations average 3.11 goals: 2.16 for Chesterfield and 0.95 for Colchester United. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.8% and over 3.5 goals 37.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.