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  1. Simulations
  2. La Liga
  3. Osasuna vs Málaga
La Liga · 100,000 simulations

Osasuna vs Málaga prediction

We simulated Osasuna vs Málaga 100,000 times. Osasuna won 53,002 of them (53%), the draw came up 25.9% of the time and Málaga won 21.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.2%, while the likeliest Osasuna win is 1-0 (11%). Both teams score in 50.9% of simulations.

Osasuna badge
Osasuna Estadio El Sadar
Sunday 22 November
Málaga badge
Málaga Away
53% 53,002 wins
25.9% Draw
21.1% 21,061 wins
Expected goals
1.68 – 0.97
Likeliest score
1-1 12.2% Top Osasuna win: 1-0 11%
Both score
50.9%
Over 2.5
49.2%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona

Osasuna vs Málaga in numbers 100,000 simulations · La Liga · Sunday 22 November, 17:30

Osasuna vs Málaga simulation probabilities
Osasuna win53%
Draw25.9%
Málaga win21.1%
Most likely score1-1 (12.2%)
Expected goals1.68 – 0.97
Both teams to score50.9%
Over 1.5 goals74.7%
Over 2.5 goals49.2%
Over 3.5 goals27.6%
Osasuna score first58.5%
Málaga score first33%
Osasuna clean sheet38.2%
Málaga clean sheet19.1%

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Athletic Club Espanyol 2.0–0.8 xG 53% Over 2.5 Deportivo Alavés Deportivo A Coruña 1.5–1.1 xG 46% Over 2.5 Rayo Vallecano Valencia 1.6–1.1 xG 50% Over 2.5 Sevilla Real Betis 1.3–1.4 xG 51% Over 2.5 Real Madrid Celta de Vigo 2.6–0.7 xG 64% Over 2.5 FC Barcelona Villarreal 3.1–1.1 xG 78% Over 2.5 Racing Santander Real Sociedad 1.7–1.9 xG 69% Over 2.5 Getafe Atlético de Madrid 0.8–1.7 xG 45% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420654520
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Osasuna vs Málaga prediction FAQs

Who will win Osasuna vs Málaga?

Osasuna are favourites. They win 53% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.9% for the draw and 21.1% for Málaga. Including the draw, Osasuna avoid defeat 78.9% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Osasuna vs Málaga?

1-1, which came up in 12.2% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11%) and 2-0 (9.9%). The likeliest Osasuna win is 1-0 (11%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Osasuna vs Málaga?

Both teams score in 50.9% of simulations. Osasuna keep a clean sheet 38.2% of the time and Málaga 19.1%.

How many goals will there be in Osasuna vs Málaga?

The simulations average 2.65 goals: 1.68 for Osasuna and 0.97 for Málaga. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.2% and over 3.5 goals 27.6%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.