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We simulated Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad 100,000 times. Real Sociedad won 41,543 of them (41.5%), the draw came up 22.8% of the time and Racing Santander won 35.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.3%, while the likeliest Real Sociedad win is 1-2 (8.1%). Both teams score in 69.3% of simulations.
| Racing Santander win | 35.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.8% |
| Real Sociedad win | 41.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.72 – 1.87 |
| Both teams to score | 69.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 48.2% |
| Racing Santander score first | 42.3% |
| Real Sociedad score first | 54.1% |
| Racing Santander clean sheet | 15.8% |
| Real Sociedad clean sheet | 18.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420654678 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Real Sociedad are favourites. They win 41.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.8% for the draw and 35.7% for Racing Santander. Including the draw, Real Sociedad avoid defeat 64.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.3% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.1%) and 2-1 (7.5%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win is 1-2 (8.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 69.3% of simulations. Racing Santander keep a clean sheet 15.8% of the time and Real Sociedad 18.3%.
The simulations average 3.60 goals: 1.72 for Racing Santander and 1.87 for Real Sociedad. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 69.2% and over 3.5 goals 48.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.