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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Belgium vs Türkiye 100,000 times. Belgium won 61,630 of them (61.6%), the draw came up 20.1% of the time and Türkiye won 18.3%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.5%), and both teams score in 60.8% of simulations.
Full time 3-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Belgium winning 61.6% and gave this exact score 6.3%.
| Belgium win | 61.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.1% |
| Türkiye win | 18.3% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.5%) |
| Expected goals | 2.25 – 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | 60.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.9% |
| Belgium score first | 69.7% |
| Türkiye score first | 26.4% |
| Belgium clean sheet | 32.1% |
| Türkiye clean sheet | 11% |
Moldova
Kazakhstan
1.1–1.2
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Serbia
Germany
0.8–2.7
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Netherlands
Greece
2.0–1.0
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Slovenia
Switzerland
0.8–1.6
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Scotland
North Macedonia
2.4–0.5
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Bulgaria
Iceland
1.0–1.6
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Luxembourg
Estonia
1.1–1.0
xG
36%
Over 2.5
Slovakia
Faroe Islands
2.0–0.7
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420686895 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Belgium are favourites. They win 61.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.1% for the draw and 18.3% for Türkiye. Including the draw, Belgium avoid defeat 81.7% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.5% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.8% of simulations. Belgium keep a clean sheet 32.1% of the time and Türkiye 11%.
The simulations average 3.40 goals: 2.25 for Belgium and 1.15 for Türkiye. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.6% and over 3.5 goals 43.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.