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  1. Simulations
  2. Brazil Serie A
  3. Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama
Brazil Serie A · 100,000 simulations

Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama prediction

We simulated Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama 100,000 times. Vasco da Gama won 63,740 of them (63.7%), the draw came up 20.4% of the time and Chapecoense won 15.9%. The most likely score is 0-2 (10.7%), and both teams score in 52% of simulations.

Chapecoense badge
Chapecoense Arena Condá
Today
Vasco da Gama badge
Vasco da Gama Away
15.9% 15,913 wins
20.4% Draw
63.7% 63,740 wins
Expected goals
0.92 – 2.07
Likeliest score
0-2 10.7%
Both score
52%
Over 2.5
57.1%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Rodrigo Pereira Arena Condá, Chapecó

Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama in numbers 100,000 simulations · Brazil Serie A · Today, 23:30

Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama simulation probabilities
Chapecoense win15.9%
Draw20.4%
Vasco da Gama win63.7%
Most likely score0-2 (10.7%)
Expected goals0.92 – 2.07
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals79.5%
Over 2.5 goals57.1%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Chapecoense score first29.5%
Vasco da Gama score first65.3%
Chapecoense clean sheet13%
Vasco da Gama clean sheet40.3%

More Brazil Serie A simulations

Mirassol Atlético Mineiro 1.7–1.0 xG 52% Over 2.5 Coritiba Santos 1.3–1.6 xG 55% Over 2.5 Remo Chapecoense 1.9–1.0 xG 54% Over 2.5 Cruzeiro Palmeiras 1.4–1.4 xG 53% Over 2.5 Flamengo Athletico PR 2.7–0.7 xG 65% Over 2.5 Corinthians Botafogo 1.7–0.9 xG 49% Over 2.5 Grêmio Bahia 1.8–1.3 xG 60% Over 2.5 Vitória Bragantino 1.5–1.3 xG 53% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

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Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama prediction FAQs

Who will win Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama?

Vasco da Gama are favourites. They win 63.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.4% for the draw and 15.9% for Chapecoense. Including the draw, Vasco da Gama avoid defeat 84.1% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama?

0-2, which came up in 10.7% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama?

Both teams score in 52% of simulations. Chapecoense keep a clean sheet 13% of the time and Vasco da Gama 40.3%.

How many goals will there be in Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama?

The simulations average 2.99 goals: 0.92 for Chapecoense and 2.07 for Vasco da Gama. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.1% and over 3.5 goals 35%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.