OddAlerts | In-Play Football Alerts
Login

Join The Team!

A signing like no other...

Name
Email
Password
Selected Plan:
Pro£19.99/m
Pro w/ API£69.99/m
Season Ticket£179.99
... Close
  1. Simulations
  2. UEFA Nations League
  3. Denmark vs Wales
UEFA Nations League · 100,000 simulations

Denmark vs Wales prediction

We simulated Denmark vs Wales 100,000 times. Denmark won 67,627 of them (67.6%), the draw came up 18.1% of the time and Wales won 14.2%. The most likely score is 2-0 (11.3%), and both teams score in 50.2% of simulations.

Denmark badge
Denmark Parken
2–0 Full time
Wales badge
Wales Away
67.6% 67,627 wins
18.1% Draw
14.2% 14,244 wins
Expected goals
2.18 – 0.86
Likeliest score
2-0 11.3%
Both score
50.2%
Over 2.5
58.2%

Full time 2-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Denmark winning 67.6% and gave this exact score 11.3%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Willy Delajod Parken, København

Denmark vs Wales in numbers 100,000 simulations · UEFA Nations League · Sunday 27 September, 17:00

Denmark vs Wales simulation probabilities
Denmark win67.6%
Draw18.1%
Wales win14.2%
Most likely score2-0 (11.3%)
Expected goals2.18 – 0.86
Both teams to score50.2%
Over 1.5 goals79.8%
Over 2.5 goals58.2%
Over 3.5 goals36.1%
Denmark score first66.5%
Wales score first28.8%
Denmark clean sheet42.6%
Wales clean sheet11.8%

More UEFA Nations League simulations

Moldova Kazakhstan 1.2–1.2 xG 42% Over 2.5 Serbia Germany 0.8–2.7 xG 68% Over 2.5 Netherlands Greece 2.0–1.0 xG 57% Over 2.5 Slovenia Switzerland 0.7–1.5 xG 38% Over 2.5 Scotland North Macedonia 2.5–0.5 xG 58% Over 2.5 Bulgaria Iceland 0.9–1.6 xG 46% Over 2.5 Luxembourg Estonia 1.2–1.0 xG 35% Over 2.5 Slovakia Faroe Islands 2.0–0.6 xG 48% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

See the API Try it for 48 hours, £9.99 
GET /api/predictions/generate/420674871
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Denmark vs Wales prediction FAQs

Who will win Denmark vs Wales?

Denmark are favourites. They win 67.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.1% for the draw and 14.2% for Wales. Including the draw, Denmark avoid defeat 85.8% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Denmark vs Wales?

2-0, which came up in 11.3% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Denmark vs Wales?

Both teams score in 50.2% of simulations. Denmark keep a clean sheet 42.6% of the time and Wales 11.8%.

How many goals will there be in Denmark vs Wales?

The simulations average 3.04 goals: 2.18 for Denmark and 0.86 for Wales. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.2% and over 3.5 goals 36.1%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.