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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Faroe Islands vs Slovakia 100,000 times. Slovakia won 56,409 of them (56.4%), the draw came up 26.1% of the time and Faroe Islands won 17.5%. The most likely score is 0-1 (15.2%), and both teams score in 41.5% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 26.1% and gave this exact score 11.8%.
| Faroe Islands win | 17.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.1% |
| Slovakia win | 56.4% |
| Most likely score | 0-1 (15.2%) |
| Expected goals | 0.74 – 1.57 |
| Both teams to score | 41.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 20.4% |
| Faroe Islands score first | 30.4% |
| Slovakia score first | 59.1% |
| Faroe Islands clean sheet | 21.3% |
| Slovakia clean sheet | 47.7% |
Moldova
Kazakhstan
1.2–1.2
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Serbia
Germany
0.8–2.7
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Netherlands
Greece
2.0–1.0
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Slovenia
Switzerland
0.8–1.6
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Scotland
North Macedonia
2.4–0.5
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Bulgaria
Iceland
1.0–1.6
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Luxembourg
Estonia
1.1–1.0
xG
36%
Over 2.5
Slovakia
Faroe Islands
2.0–0.7
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420686900 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Slovakia are favourites. They win 56.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.1% for the draw and 17.5% for Faroe Islands. Including the draw, Slovakia avoid defeat 82.5% of the time.
0-1, which came up in 15.2% of simulations. Next are 0-2 (12.1%) and 1-1 (11.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 41.5% of simulations. Faroe Islands keep a clean sheet 21.3% of the time and Slovakia 47.7%.
The simulations average 2.31 goals: 0.74 for Faroe Islands and 1.57 for Slovakia. Over 1.5 goals lands 67.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 40.6% and over 3.5 goals 20.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.