NEW
Introducing New Bet Builder Tool
4 Nov 2026
Build bet builders with the stats switched on. This new innovative tool combines the UI you are familiar with when you place bet builders a…
BETA
VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
30 Oct 2026
VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
NEW
5 New Livescore Page Updates
12 Nov 2026
1. A new dropdown allowing you to jump to related or popular fixtures 2. Quickly view /simulations, and /bet-builder pages for a specific f…
NEW
Bet Builder: Nations League & EFL Trophy Added
9 Nov 2026
👉 https://www.oddalerts.com/bet-builder
NEW
Fixture Difficulty & New Time Periods Live
7 Nov 2026
We have developed a new metric for the Form Guide. You can now see the upcoming difficulty of a team's fixture run. What's more, you can no…
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Germany vs Serbia 100,000 times. Germany won 80,603 of them (80.6%), the draw came up 13% of the time and Serbia won 6.4%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.5%), and both teams score in 50.7% of simulations.
Full time 2-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Germany winning 80.6% and gave this exact score 10.5%.
| Germany win | 80.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 13% |
| Serbia win | 6.4% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (10.5%) |
| Expected goals | 2.96 – 0.76 |
| Both teams to score | 50.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 50.8% |
| Germany score first | 75.2% |
| Serbia score first | 21.6% |
| Germany clean sheet | 46.9% |
| Serbia clean sheet | 5.5% |
Moldova
Kazakhstan
1.2–1.2
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Serbia
Germany
0.8–2.7
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Netherlands
Greece
2.0–1.0
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Slovenia
Switzerland
0.8–1.6
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Scotland
North Macedonia
2.4–0.5
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Bulgaria
Iceland
1.0–1.6
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Luxembourg
Estonia
1.1–1.0
xG
36%
Over 2.5
Slovakia
Faroe Islands
2.0–0.7
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420685847 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Germany are favourites. They win 80.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 13% for the draw and 6.4% for Serbia. Including the draw, Germany avoid defeat 93.6% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 10.5% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (7.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50.7% of simulations. Germany keep a clean sheet 46.9% of the time and Serbia 5.5%.
The simulations average 3.73 goals: 2.96 for Germany and 0.76 for Serbia. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 71.4% and over 3.5 goals 50.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.