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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Hungary vs Georgia 100,000 times. Hungary won 42,790 of them (42.8%), the draw came up 29.3% of the time and Georgia won 27.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.7%, while the likeliest Hungary win is 1-0 (11.6%). Both teams score in 48% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Hungary winning 42.8% and gave this exact score 11.6%.
| Hungary win | 42.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 29.3% |
| Georgia win | 27.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.34 – 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | 48% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 21.7% |
| Hungary score first | 49.5% |
| Georgia score first | 40.2% |
| Hungary clean sheet | 36% |
| Georgia clean sheet | 26.6% |
Moldova
Kazakhstan
1.2–1.2
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Serbia
Germany
0.8–2.7
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Netherlands
Greece
2.0–1.0
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Slovenia
Switzerland
0.8–1.6
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Scotland
North Macedonia
2.4–0.5
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Bulgaria
Iceland
1.0–1.6
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Luxembourg
Estonia
1.1–1.0
xG
36%
Over 2.5
Slovakia
Faroe Islands
2.0–0.7
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420686899 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Hungary are favourites. They win 42.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 29.3% for the draw and 27.9% for Georgia. Including the draw, Hungary avoid defeat 72.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.7% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11.6%) and 0-0 (10.5%). The likeliest Hungary win is 1-0 (11.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 48% of simulations. Hungary keep a clean sheet 36% of the time and Georgia 26.6%.
The simulations average 2.37 goals: 1.34 for Hungary and 1.03 for Georgia. Over 1.5 goals lands 69.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 42.2% and over 3.5 goals 21.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.