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We simulated Hungary vs Northern Ireland 100,000 times. Hungary won 48,762 of them (48.8%), the draw came up 27.8% of the time and Northern Ireland won 23.5%. The most likely score is 1-0 (14.6%), and both teams score in 42.7% of simulations.
| Hungary win | 48.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.8% |
| Northern Ireland win | 23.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (14.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.38 β 0.86 |
| Both teams to score | 42.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% |
| Hungary score first | 54.3% |
| Northern Ireland score first | 34.7% |
| Hungary clean sheet | 42.7% |
| Northern Ireland clean sheet | 25.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420725803 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Hungary are favourites. They win 48.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.8% for the draw and 23.5% for Northern Ireland. Including the draw, Hungary avoid defeat 76.5% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 14.6% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (12.5%) and 0-0 (11.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 42.7% of simulations. Hungary keep a clean sheet 42.7% of the time and Northern Ireland 25.7%.
The simulations average 2.24 goals: 1.38 for Hungary and 0.86 for Northern Ireland. Over 1.5 goals lands 65.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 38.7% and over 3.5 goals 19%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.