OddAlerts | In-Play Football Alerts
Login

Join The Team!

A signing like no other...

Name
Email
Password
Selected Plan:
Pro£19.99/m
Pro w/ API£69.99/m
Season Ticket£179.99
... Close
  1. Simulations
  2. UEFA Nations League
  3. Poland vs Romania
UEFA Nations League · 100,000 simulations

Poland vs Romania prediction

We simulated Poland vs Romania 100,000 times. Poland won 59,442 of them (59.4%), the draw came up 22.8% of the time and Romania won 17.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.7%, while the likeliest Poland win is 2-0 (10.2%). Both teams score in 53.4% of simulations.

Poland badge
Poland Stadion Narodowy
6–0 Full time
Romania badge
Romania Away
59.4% 59,442 wins
22.8% Draw
17.8% 17,781 wins
Expected goals
1.95 – 0.97
Likeliest score
1-1 10.7% Top Poland win: 2-0 10.2%
Both score
53.4%
Over 2.5
55.7%

Full time 6-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Poland winning 59.4%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Urs Schnyder Stadion Narodowy, Warszawa

Poland vs Romania in numbers 100,000 simulations · UEFA Nations League · Friday 2 October, 19:45

Poland vs Romania simulation probabilities
Poland win59.4%
Draw22.8%
Romania win17.8%
Most likely score1-1 (10.7%)
Expected goals1.95 – 0.97
Both teams to score53.4%
Over 1.5 goals79.2%
Over 2.5 goals55.7%
Over 3.5 goals33.6%
Poland score first63.4%
Romania score first30.6%
Poland clean sheet38.2%
Romania clean sheet14.6%

More UEFA Nations League simulations

Serbia Germany 0.8–2.7 xG 68% Over 2.5 Netherlands Greece 2.1–1.1 xG 62% Over 2.5 Slovenia Switzerland 0.7–1.5 xG 37% Over 2.5 Scotland North Macedonia 2.5–0.5 xG 58% Over 2.5 Bulgaria Iceland 1.0–1.6 xG 47% Over 2.5 Luxembourg Estonia 1.1–1.0 xG 36% Over 2.5 Slovakia Faroe Islands 2.1–0.7 xG 51% Over 2.5 Liechtenstein Azerbaijan 0.3–2.1 xG 41% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

See the API Try it for 48 hours, £9.99 
GET /api/predictions/generate/420686896
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Poland vs Romania prediction FAQs

Who will win Poland vs Romania?

Poland are favourites. They win 59.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.8% for the draw and 17.8% for Romania. Including the draw, Poland avoid defeat 82.2% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Poland vs Romania?

1-1, which came up in 10.7% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (10.2%) and 1-0 (10%). The likeliest Poland win is 2-0 (10.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Poland vs Romania?

Both teams score in 53.4% of simulations. Poland keep a clean sheet 38.2% of the time and Romania 14.6%.

How many goals will there be in Poland vs Romania?

The simulations average 2.92 goals: 1.95 for Poland and 0.97 for Romania. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.7% and over 3.5 goals 33.6%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.