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UEFA Nations League · 100,000 simulations

Spain vs Czech Republic prediction

We simulated Spain vs Czech Republic 100,000 times. Spain won 88,178 of them (88.2%), the draw came up 8% of the time and Czech Republic won 3.8%. The most likely score is 3-0 (12.2%), and both teams score in 41.4% of simulations.

Spain badge
Spain Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
3–1 Full time
Czech Republic badge
Czech Republic Away
88.2% 88,178 wins
8% Draw
3.8% 3,783 wins
Expected goals
3.32 – 0.57
Likeliest score
3-0 12.2%
Both score
41.4%
Over 2.5
73.9%

Full time 3-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Spain winning 88.2% and gave this exact score 6.9%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Vasilis Fotias Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo

Spain vs Czech Republic in numbers 100,000 simulations · UEFA Nations League · Saturday 3 October, 19:45

Spain vs Czech Republic simulation probabilities
Spain win88.2%
Draw8%
Czech Republic win3.8%
Most likely score3-0 (12.2%)
Expected goals3.32 – 0.57
Both teams to score41.4%
Over 1.5 goals89.3%
Over 2.5 goals73.9%
Over 3.5 goals54.1%
Spain score first83.7%
Czech Republic score first14.2%
Spain clean sheet56.7%
Czech Republic clean sheet3.9%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420687397
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Spain vs Czech Republic prediction FAQs

Who will win Spain vs Czech Republic?

Spain are favourites. They win 88.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 8% for the draw and 3.8% for Czech Republic. Including the draw, Spain avoid defeat 96.2% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Spain vs Czech Republic?

3-0, which came up in 12.2% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (11.3%) and 4-0 (10.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Spain vs Czech Republic?

Both teams score in 41.4% of simulations. Spain keep a clean sheet 56.7% of the time and Czech Republic 3.9%.

How many goals will there be in Spain vs Czech Republic?

The simulations average 3.89 goals: 3.32 for Spain and 0.57 for Czech Republic. Over 1.5 goals lands 89.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 73.9% and over 3.5 goals 54.1%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.