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  1. Simulations
  2. UEFA Nations League
  3. Switzerland vs Slovenia
UEFA Nations League · 100,000 simulations

Switzerland vs Slovenia prediction

We simulated Switzerland vs Slovenia 100,000 times. Switzerland won 70,931 of them (70.9%), the draw came up 18.8% of the time and Slovenia won 10.3%. The most likely score is 1-0 (14.9%), and both teams score in 38.6% of simulations.

Switzerland badge
Switzerland swissporarena
2–1 Full time
Slovenia badge
Slovenia Away
70.9% 70,931 wins
18.8% Draw
10.3% 10,289 wins
Expected goals
2.03 – 0.60
Likeliest score
1-0 14.9%
Both score
38.6%
Over 2.5
48.6%

Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Switzerland winning 70.9% and gave this exact score 8.7%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Ivan Kružliak swissporarena, Luzern

Switzerland vs Slovenia in numbers 100,000 simulations · UEFA Nations League · Saturday 3 October, 19:45

Switzerland vs Slovenia simulation probabilities
Switzerland win70.9%
Draw18.8%
Slovenia win10.3%
Most likely score1-0 (14.9%)
Expected goals2.03 – 0.60
Both teams to score38.6%
Over 1.5 goals73.2%
Over 2.5 goals48.6%
Over 3.5 goals27.1%
Switzerland score first71.4%
Slovenia score first21.2%
Switzerland clean sheet55.1%
Slovenia clean sheet13.6%

More UEFA Nations League simulations

Moldova Kazakhstan 1.2–1.2 xG 42% Over 2.5 Serbia Germany 0.8–2.7 xG 68% Over 2.5 Netherlands Greece 2.0–1.0 xG 57% Over 2.5 Slovenia Switzerland 0.8–1.6 xG 42% Over 2.5 Scotland North Macedonia 2.4–0.5 xG 54% Over 2.5 Bulgaria Iceland 1.0–1.6 xG 46% Over 2.5 Luxembourg Estonia 1.2–1.0 xG 36% Over 2.5 Slovakia Faroe Islands 2.0–0.7 xG 49% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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  ?v=2
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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Switzerland vs Slovenia prediction FAQs

Who will win Switzerland vs Slovenia?

Switzerland are favourites. They win 70.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.8% for the draw and 10.3% for Slovenia. Including the draw, Switzerland avoid defeat 89.7% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Switzerland vs Slovenia?

1-0, which came up in 14.9% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (14.7%) and 3-0 (9.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Switzerland vs Slovenia?

Both teams score in 38.6% of simulations. Switzerland keep a clean sheet 55.1% of the time and Slovenia 13.6%.

How many goals will there be in Switzerland vs Slovenia?

The simulations average 2.63 goals: 2.03 for Switzerland and 0.60 for Slovenia. Over 1.5 goals lands 73.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48.6% and over 3.5 goals 27.1%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.