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  1. Simulations
  2. UEFA Nations League
  3. Ukraine vs Georgia
UEFA Nations League Β· 100,000 simulations

Ukraine vs Georgia prediction

We simulated Ukraine vs Georgia 100,000 times. Ukraine won 37,128 of them (37.1%), the draw came up 27.4% of the time and Georgia won 35.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.8%, while the likeliest Ukraine win is 1-0 (10.3%). Both teams score in 50.4% of simulations.

Ukraine badge
Ukraine KoΕ‘ickΓ‘ futbalovΓ‘ arΓ©na
Tuesday 17 November
Georgia badge
Georgia Away
37.1% 37,128 wins
27.4% Draw
35.5% 35,476 wins
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.23
Likeliest score
1-1 12.8% Top Ukraine win: 1-0 10.3%
Both score
50.4%
Over 2.5
45.3%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated KoΕ‘ickΓ‘ futbalovΓ‘ arΓ©na

Ukraine vs Georgia in numbers 100,000 simulations Β· UEFA Nations League Β· Tuesday 17 November, 19:45

Ukraine vs Georgia simulation probabilities
Ukraine win37.1%
Draw27.4%
Georgia win35.5%
Most likely score1-1 (12.8%)
Expected goals1.26 – 1.23
Both teams to score50.4%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals45.3%
Over 3.5 goals24.2%
Ukraine score first45.5%
Georgia score first45.7%
Ukraine clean sheet29.7%
Georgia clean sheet28.7%

More UEFA Nations League simulations

Moldova Kazakhstan 1.2–1.2 xG 41% Over 2.5 Serbia Germany 0.9–2.7 xG 68% Over 2.5 Netherlands Greece 2.0–1.1 xG 58% Over 2.5 Slovenia Switzerland 0.7–1.5 xG 38% Over 2.5 Scotland North Macedonia 2.5–0.5 xG 58% Over 2.5 Bulgaria Iceland 0.9–1.6 xG 45% Over 2.5 Luxembourg Estonia 1.1–1.0 xG 35% Over 2.5 Slovakia Faroe Islands 2.0–0.7 xG 49% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

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Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420725798
  ?v=2
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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Ukraine vs Georgia prediction FAQs

Who will win Ukraine vs Georgia?

Ukraine are favourites. They win 37.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.4% for the draw and 35.5% for Georgia. Including the draw, Ukraine avoid defeat 64.5% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Ukraine vs Georgia?

1-1, which came up in 12.8% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.3%) and 0-1 (10%). The likeliest Ukraine win is 1-0 (10.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Ukraine vs Georgia?

Both teams score in 50.4% of simulations. Ukraine keep a clean sheet 29.7% of the time and Georgia 28.7%.

How many goals will there be in Ukraine vs Georgia?

The simulations average 2.49 goals: 1.26 for Ukraine and 1.23 for Georgia. Over 1.5 goals lands 71% of the time, over 2.5 goals 45.3% and over 3.5 goals 24.2%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.