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  1. Simulations
  2. Bundesliga
  3. FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05
Bundesliga · 100,000 simulations

FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction

We simulated FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 100,000 times. FSV Mainz 05 won 39,465 of them (39.5%), the draw came up 23.5% of the time and FC Augsburg won 37%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.7%, while the likeliest FSV Mainz 05 win is 1-2 (8%). Both teams score in 69.3% of simulations.

FC Augsburg badge
FC Augsburg WWK Arena
Sunday 22 November
FSV Mainz 05 badge
FSV Mainz 05 Away
37% 37,024 wins
23.5% Draw
39.5% 39,465 wins
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.82
Likeliest score
1-1 9.7% Top FSV Mainz 05 win: 1-2 8%
Both score
69.3%
Over 2.5
68.8%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated WWK Arena, Augsburg

FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 in numbers 100,000 simulations · Bundesliga · Sunday 22 November, 14:30

FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 simulation probabilities
FC Augsburg win37%
Draw23.5%
FSV Mainz 05 win39.5%
Most likely score1-1 (9.7%)
Expected goals1.75 – 1.82
Both teams to score69.3%
Over 1.5 goals87.6%
Over 2.5 goals68.8%
Over 3.5 goals47.7%
FC Augsburg score first53.3%
FSV Mainz 05 score first42.8%
FC Augsburg clean sheet16.7%
FSV Mainz 05 clean sheet17.8%

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Football simulation API

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Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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  ?v=2
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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction FAQs

Who will win FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05?

FSV Mainz 05 are favourites. They win 39.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.5% for the draw and 37% for FC Augsburg. Including the draw, FSV Mainz 05 avoid defeat 63% of the time.

What is the most likely score in FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05?

1-1, which came up in 9.7% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8%) and 2-1 (7.7%). The likeliest FSV Mainz 05 win is 1-2 (8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05?

Both teams score in 69.3% of simulations. FC Augsburg keep a clean sheet 16.7% of the time and FSV Mainz 05 17.8%.

How many goals will there be in FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05?

The simulations average 3.57 goals: 1.75 for FC Augsburg and 1.82 for FSV Mainz 05. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 68.8% and over 3.5 goals 47.7%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.