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Bundesliga · 100,000 simulations

Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV prediction

We simulated Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV 100,000 times. Werder Bremen won 61,414 of them (61.4%), the draw came up 20.7% of the time and Hamburger SV won 17.9%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.6%), and both teams score in 59% of simulations.

Werder Bremen badge
Werder Bremen Wohninvest Weserstadion
Sunday 22 November
Hamburger SV badge
Hamburger SV Away
61.4% 61,414 wins
20.7% Draw
17.9% 17,861 wins
Expected goals
2.19 – 1.10
Likeliest score
2-1 9.6%
Both score
59%
Over 2.5
63.3%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Wohninvest Weserstadion, Germany

Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV in numbers 100,000 simulations · Bundesliga · Sunday 22 November, 16:30

Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV simulation probabilities
Werder Bremen win61.4%
Draw20.7%
Hamburger SV win17.9%
Most likely score2-1 (9.6%)
Expected goals2.19 – 1.10
Both teams to score59%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals63.3%
Over 3.5 goals41.5%
Werder Bremen score first60%
Hamburger SV score first35.8%
Werder Bremen clean sheet33.8%
Hamburger SV clean sheet11.7%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420678975
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV prediction FAQs

Who will win Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV?

Werder Bremen are favourites. They win 61.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.7% for the draw and 17.9% for Hamburger SV. Including the draw, Werder Bremen avoid defeat 82.1% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV?

2-1, which came up in 9.6% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV?

Both teams score in 59% of simulations. Werder Bremen keep a clean sheet 33.8% of the time and Hamburger SV 11.7%.

How many goals will there be in Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV?

The simulations average 3.28 goals: 2.19 for Werder Bremen and 1.10 for Hamburger SV. Over 1.5 goals lands 84% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.3% and over 3.5 goals 41.5%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.